Rustavi 2-3 Dinamo Tbilisi: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Rustavi 2-3 Dinamo Tbilisi: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Erovnuli Liga 🌍 Georgia

Mon, May 11 2026 · 17:00

Rustavi

2 - 3

Dinamo Tbilisi

🏆 Erovnuli Liga

🌍 Georgia

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.20

League avg: 1.20

Both

2.10

League avg: 2.30

Away

0.90

League avg: 1.10

1X2 Probability

Home

43%

ELO-based: 40%

Draw

35%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

22%

ELO-based: 36%

Goal Probability

2.5+

41%

3.5+

29%

BTTS

61%

Best Score Tips

1 - 015%

1 - 113%

0 - 012%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Dinamo Tbilisi
		0	1	2	3	4
Rustavi	0	12.2%	11.0%	5.0%	1.5%	0.3%
	1	14.7%	13.2%	6.0%	1.8%	0.4%
	2	8.8%	7.9%	3.6%	1.1%	0.2%
	3	3.5%	3.2%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%
	4	1.1%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

ELO Overview

Home

1575+8

League

1538±0

Away

1556+48

ELO Verdict

Home edge, Low confidence, high upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Rustavi	1575	1583	1548	1571	1622	+8
Dinamo Tbilisi	1556	1573	1514	1525	1567	+48

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Rustavi	4	11	19	5	4	2	13	8	DDWWD
Dinamo Tbilisi	2	11	15	3	6	2	12	11	DLWDW

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Rustavi	5	60%	36%	79%	1.0	0.6
Dinamo Tbilisi	5	53%	50%	57%	1.4	1.2

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Rustavi	1.6	0.8	1.2	0.6	0.8	0.7
Dinamo Tbilisi	1.0	1.2	1.1	1.2	0.8	1.0

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Rustavi	1.2	1.6	0.7	0.6
Dinamo Tbilisi	1.1	1.2	1.0	0.8

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	30.77%	16.67%		18.18%
16-30	7.69%	25.00%	12.50%	9.09%
31-45	7.69%	33.33%		27.27%
46-60	7.69%	8.33%	37.50%	18.18%
61-75	15.38%	16.67%		9.09%
76-90	30.77%		50.00%	18.18%

Team Comparison

53%

Form

47%

42%

Attack

58%

67%

Defense

33%

63%

Poisson

37%

38%

H2H

62%

Goals

51%

Total

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Rustavi	3-0	1-2	1-2	2-1	3 / 2	2 / 2
Dinamo Tbilisi	2-1	1-2	1-2		2 / 2	2 / 2

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Rustavi	5	3	2	2	0	2
Dinamo Tbilisi	3	1	2	4	2	2

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Rustavi	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Dinamo Tbilisi	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-03-11	Dinamo Tbilisi	0 - 0 FT	Rustavi
2026-01-23	Rustavi	2 - 1 FT	Dinamo Tbilisi
2019-11-09	Rustavi	0 - 2 FT	Dinamo Tbilisi
2019-08-25	Dinamo Tbilisi	2 - 2 FT	Rustavi
2019-05-28	Rustavi	0 - 1 FT	Dinamo Tbilisi
2019-04-07	Dinamo Tbilisi	3 - 1 FT	Rustavi

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	2.35	Homepage market
Draw	3.20	Homepage market
Away win	2.70	Homepage market
2.5 goals market	1.70	Homepage market

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90+7'	Dinamo Tbilisi	D. Kvartskhava	Card	Yellow Card
80'	Rustavi	A. Gujabidze	subst	Out: A. Kutateladze
72'	Rustavi	Jean	subst	Out: N. Kutateladze
70'	Dinamo Tbilisi	M. Vatsadze	subst	Out: J. Onomah
70'	Dinamo Tbilisi	R. Ramos	subst	Out: I. Siradze
62'	Dinamo Tbilisi	R. Monteiro	subst	Out: G. Kharebashvili
60'	Rustavi	D. Ubilava	subst	Out: K. Ceijas
55'	Dinamo Tbilisi	M. Vatsadze	Goal	Normal Goal
52'	Dinamo Tbilisi	N. K. Donkor	subst	Out: D. Kvartskhava
46'	Rustavi	S. Kessi	subst	Out: P. Osei
46'	Rustavi	P. Beruashvili	subst	Out: J. Roland
46'	Dinamo Tbilisi	N. Ninua	subst	Out: B. Osei
40'	Rustavi	Jackson Kenio	Goal	Normal Goal
37'	Dinamo Tbilisi	R. Monteiro	Goal	Assist: N. Ninua
24'	Rustavi	Y. Nakano	Goal	Assist: M. Kapanadze
1'	Dinamo Tbilisi	A. Yoro	Goal	Assist: N. Ninua

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Saburtalo Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)	1	13	24	7	3	3	19	11	8	LDWWL
Dinamo Tbilisi Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)	2	13	21	5	6	2	17	13	4	WWWDW
Torpedo Kutaisi	3	13	20	5	5	3	21	11	10	WDDDW
Rustavi	4	13	20	5	5	3	16	12	4	DLDWW
Dila	5	13	19	6	1	6	11	10	1	LWLLW
Dinamo Batumi	6	13	17	4	5	4	17	20	-3	WWWDL
Spaeri	7	12	15	4	3	5	17	15	2	WLDLL
Samgurali Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)	8	12	14	4	2	6	14	21	-7	LWWLL
Gagra Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)	9	13	11	2	5	6	11	20	-9	DLLLD
Meshakhte Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2	10	13	10	1	7	5	8	18	-10	LLLLD