Tue, Apr 14 2026 • 01:30 •
Estadio Los Andes II
Expected Goals
1.24 (league 1.16)
2.21 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 20.5% | 20.0% | 56.8% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.6%
1 - 1
8.7%
0 - 2
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
| UMECIT | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sporting San Miguelito | 0 | 3.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 3.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% | |
| 2 | 2.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sporting San Miguelito | UMECIT |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 60% |
| Attack | 45% | 73% |
| Defense | 36% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-6
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sporting San Miguelito | UMECIT | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| Wins | 20% | 29% | 25% | 57% | 20% | 42% |
| Draws | 20% | 57% | 42% | 43% | 20% | 33% |
| Loses | 60% | 14% | 33% | 0% | 60% | 25% |
Sporting San MiguelitoWDLDWDDWDLLL
UMECITWWLDLLWDDWWD
League goals
| Metric | Sporting San Miguelito | UMECIT | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 7 | 6 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 13 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sporting San Miguelito | UMECIT | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 75% | 100% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 25% | 25% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 8% | 17% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sporting San Miguelito | UMECIT | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sporting San Miguelito | UMECIT |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sporting San Miguelito | UMECIT |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 1-0 | — | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sporting San Miguelito | UMECIT |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 31% | 69% |
| Att | 38% | 62% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 36% | 64% |
| H2h | 36% | 64% |
| Goals | 46% | 54% |
| Total | 37.2% | 62.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.32 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ 10Bet
Away3.24 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.37 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.91 @ William Hill
No1.89 @ 188Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Sporting San Miguelito
vs
UMECIT
Expected goals
1.24
Sporting San Miguelito xG
League Avg: 1.16
Total
3.45
2.21
UMECIT xG
League Avg: 1.01
1x2 probabilities
Home
20.5%
Draw
20.0%
Away
56.8%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 2
9.6%
Tip
1 - 1
8.7%
Tip
0 - 2
7.7%
More chances
1.5+
74%
Chance
2.5+
52%
Chance
3.5+
37%
Chance
BTTS
75%
Chance
🟨 Cards
3 - 6
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Sporting San Miguelito = 1.24 (league 1.16), UMECIT = 2.21 (league 1.01)
| UMECIT | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sporting San Miguelito | 0 | 3.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 3.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% | |
| 2 | 2.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.5% · Draw 20.0% · Away win 56.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1