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Hwaseong 1-2 Paju Citizen: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow
FT
Sat, Jul 11 2026 Β· 10:30
FT
πŸ† K League 2
🌍 South-Korea
🏟️ TBA
Pre-Match Predictions
Expected Goals
Home
1.54
League avg: 1.50
Both
2.62
League avg: 2.50
Away
1.09
League avg: 1.00
1X2 Probability
Home
47%
ELO-based: 40%
Draw
28%
ELO-based: 24%
Away
25%
ELO-based: 36%
Goal Probability
2.5+
49%
3.5+
28%
BTTS
51%
Best Score Tips
1 - 112%
1 - 011%
2 - 19%
Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Hwaseong vs Paju Citizen

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Hwaseong vs Paju Citizen.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.
FT Score Probability Grid
Paju Citizen
01234
Hwaseong 0 7.2% 7.9% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4%
1 11.2% 12.1% 6.6% 2.4% 0.6%
2 8.6% 9.3% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5%
3 4.4% 4.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.7% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
ELO Overview
Home
1490+6
League
1492Β±0
Away
1470-26
ELO Verdict
Home edge, Low confidence, high upset risk
ELOOverallFormH/AAttackDefenseLast 5 +-
Hwaseong14901503149514581501+6
Paju Citizen14701452150914401508-26
League Snapshot
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAForm
Hwaseong615257442217DWWWL
Paju Citizen1215144291521DLLLL
Recent Team Form
TeamPlayedFormAttackDefenseGF avgGA avg
Hwaseong 5 67% 59% 59% 2.0 1.4
Paju Citizen 5 7% 6% 59% 0.2 1.4
Goal Trends
TeamGF HGF AGF TotGA HGA AGA Tot
Hwaseong 1.5 1.3 1.5 1.1 1.3 1.1
Paju Citizen 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.3 1.6 1.4
Goals Trends, home + away avg.
TeamsGFGF H/AGAGA H/A
Hwaseong 1.5 1.5 1.1 1.1
Paju Citizen 1.0 1.0 1.4 1.6
Goal Minutes
MinHome ForAway ForHome AgainstAway Against
0-15 13.33% 16.67% 14.29%
16-30 23.81% 26.67% 16.67%
31-45 14.29% 20.00% 22.22% 19.05%
46-60 23.81% 6.67% 5.56% 4.76%
61-75 14.29% 6.67% 11.11% 19.05%
76-90 23.81% 26.67% 27.78% 42.86%
Team Comparison
91%
Form
9%
91%
Attack
9%
5%
Defense
5%
69%
Poisson
31%
5%
H2H
5%
5%
Goals
5%
67%
Total
33%
Biggest Results
TeamWin HWin ALoss HLoss AGF H/AGA H/A
Hwaseong 2-0 2-3 1-3 1-0 3 / 3 3 / 2
Paju Citizen 3-1 1-2 1-3 4-1 3 / 2 3 / 4
Clean sheets & failed to score
TeamCSCS HCS AFTSFTS HFTS A
Hwaseong 5 5 0 3 1 2
Paju Citizen 4 2 2 6 4 2
Penalties
TeamScoredScored %MissedMissed %WonCommitted
Hwaseong 0 0% 0 0% β€” β€”
Paju Citizen 3 100.00% 0 0% β€” β€”
Recent H2H
DateHomeScoreAway
2024-07-21 Paju Citizen 0 - 2 FT Hwaseong
2024-04-07 Hwaseong 2 - 0 FT Paju Citizen
2023-07-15 Paju Citizen 2 - 1 FT Hwaseong
2023-04-02 Hwaseong 0 - 0 FT Paju Citizen
2022-10-29 Paju Citizen 3 - 0 FT Hwaseong
2022-06-05 Hwaseong 1 - 1 FT Paju Citizen
Best Odds Snapshot
MarketBest oddBookmaker
Home win 1.95 Betano
Draw 3.59 Pinnacle
Away win 4.10 BetVictor
Over 2.5 2.12 Betano
Under 2.5 1.75 Pinnacle
BTTS Yes 1.92 Superbet
BTTS No 1.85 William Hill
Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.
Match Events
MinTeamPlayerTypeDetail
85' Paju Citizen You Jae-jun subst Out: Lee Chan-ho
83' Hwaseong Choi Myung-Hee Goal Normal Goal
79' Hwaseong L. Pllana subst Out: Son Seung-Beom
79' Paju Citizen Lee Taek-Geun subst Out: Kim Min-Sung
77' Paju Citizen B. Baston Goal Assist: Lee Joon-Suk
67' Hwaseong Lee Jong-Sung subst Out: Choi Myung-Hee
67' Hwaseong S. Jeon subst Out: Kim Jung-Min
56' Paju Citizen J. Baez subst Out: Lee Joon-Suk
56' Paju Citizen Cheon Hyeon-Byung subst Out: Kim Min-Ho
55' Hwaseong Jegal Jae-Min subst Out: Demethryus
55' Hwaseong Park Kyung-Min subst Out: Ham Sun-Woo
46' Paju Citizen J. Arias subst Out: S. Roh
32' Hwaseong Park Kyung-Min Card Yellow Card
17' Hwaseong Park Jun-seo Card Yellow Card
15' Paju Citizen J. Arias Goal Assist: Ryu Won-Woo
League Standings
Local standings cache Β· K League 2 2026
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAGDForm
Busan I Park Promotion - K League 1 1 16 36 11 3 2 35 20 15 WDDWL
Suwon Bluewings Promotion - K League 1 2 16 32 10 2 4 22 14 8 LWWLW
Daegu FC Promotion - K League 2 (Play Offs) 3 16 31 9 4 3 35 22 13 WWWDW
Suwon City FC Promotion - K League 2 (Play Offs) 4 16 29 8 5 3 34 21 13 WWDDL
Seoul E-Land FC Promotion - K League 2 (Play Offs) 5 16 29 9 2 5 28 19 9 WLWWD
Hwaseong Promotion - K League 2 (Play Offs) 6 16 25 7 4 5 23 19 4 LLWWW
Asan Mugunghwa 7 16 24 6 6 4 24 19 5 DWDWD
Gimpo Citizen 8 16 24 6 6 4 19 18 1 LLDWW
Gyeongnam FC 9 16 20 5 5 6 20 25 -5 DWDLW
Cheonan City 10 16 19 4 7 5 19 19 0 LLDWL
Yongin City 11 16 17 3 8 5 20 23 -3 DWDDD
Paju Citizen 12 16 17 5 2 9 17 22 -5 WLLLL
Seongnam FC 13 16 17 3 8 5 16 18 -2 LLDDL
Cheongju 14 16 14 1 11 4 19 27 -8 DLWLD
Ansan Greeners 15 16 14 4 2 10 17 29 -12 WLLLL
Jeonnam Dragons 16 16 9 1 6 9 18 31 -13 LDDLL
Gimhae City K League 2 (Relegation) 17 16 9 2 3 11 13 33 -20 WLDLW