Curico Unido 2-2 San Marcos de Arica: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow
FT
Tue, May 12 2026 Β· 00:00
FT
πŸ† Primera B
🌍 Chile
🏟️ TBA
Pre-Match Predictions
Expected Goals
Home
1.05
League avg: 1.10
Both
2.35
League avg: 2.50
Away
1.30
League avg: 1.40
1X2 Probability
Home
16%
ELO-based: 29%
Draw
23%
ELO-based: 24%
Away
61%
ELO-based: 47%
Goal Probability
2.5+
48%
3.5+
34%
BTTS
70%
Best Score Tips
1 - 113%
0 - 112%
1 - 010%
Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Curico Unido vs San Marcos de Arica

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Curico Unido vs San Marcos de Arica.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.
FT Score Probability Grid
San Marcos de Arica
01234
Curico Unido 0 9.5% 12.4% 8.1% 3.5% 1.1%
1 10.0% 13.0% 8.5% 3.7% 1.2%
2 5.3% 6.8% 4.4% 1.9% 0.6%
3 1.8% 2.4% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
ELO Overview
Home
1452-11
League
1479Β±0
Away
1538+44
ELO Verdict
Away edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk
ELOOverallFormH/AAttackDefenseLast 5 +-
Curico Unido14521443148014191469-11
San Marcos de Arica15381563148514771514+44
League Snapshot
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAForm
Curico Unido1410102441118DDDWL
San Marcos de Arica41020550146WWWWW
Recent Team Form
TeamPlayedFormAttackDefenseGF avgGA avg
Curico Unido 5 40% 33% 60% 1.0 1.2
San Marcos de Arica 5 100% 73% 80% 2.2 0.6
Goal Trends
TeamGF HGF AGF TotGA HGA AGA Tot
Curico Unido 1.3 1.0 1.1 1.0 2.3 1.8
San Marcos de Arica 1.2 1.6 1.4 0.4 0.8 0.6
Goals Trends, home + away avg.
TeamsGFGF H/AGAGA H/A
Curico Unido 1.1 1.3 1.8 1.0
San Marcos de Arica 1.4 1.6 0.6 0.8
Goal Minutes
MinHome ForAway ForHome AgainstAway Against
0-15 18.18% 7.14% 22.22%
16-30 7.14% 11.11% 16.67%
31-45 18.18% 21.43% 16.67%
46-60 18.18% 7.14% 38.89% 16.67%
61-75 18.18% 28.57% 5.56% 16.67%
76-90 27.27% 28.57% 5.56% 50.00%
Team Comparison
29%
Form
71%
31%
Attack
69%
33%
Defense
67%
3%
Poisson
7%
1%
H2H
%
65%
Goals
35%
38%
Total
62%
Biggest Results
TeamWin HWin ALoss HLoss AGF H/AGA H/A
Curico Unido 2-1 1-2 5-1 2 / 2 2 / 5
San Marcos de Arica 2-0 0-3 2 / 3 1 / 2
Clean sheets & failed to score
TeamCSCS HCS AFTSFTS HFTS A
Curico Unido 2 1 1 2 0 2
San Marcos de Arica 5 3 2 2 1 1
Penalties
TeamScoredScored %MissedMissed %WonCommitted
Curico Unido 0 0% 0 0% β€” β€”
San Marcos de Arica 0 0% 0 0% β€” β€”
Recent H2H
DateHomeScoreAway
2025-07-12 Curico Unido 5 - 3 FT San Marcos de Arica
2025-02-25 San Marcos de Arica 1 - 2 FT Curico Unido
2024-08-01 San Marcos de Arica 2 - 3 FT Curico Unido
2024-03-16 Curico Unido 1 - 0 FT San Marcos de Arica
Best Odds Snapshot
MarketBest oddBookmaker
Home win 2.35 Homepage market
Draw 3.50 Homepage market
Away win 2.45 Homepage market
2.5 goals market 2.30 Homepage market
Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.
Match Events
MinTeamPlayerTypeDetail
90+7' Curico Unido I. Aliaga Card Yellow Card
90+4' Curico Unido J. Alfaro Goal Normal Goal
87' San Marcos de Arica N. Donadell subst Out: M. Iturra
87' San Marcos de Arica C. Melivilu Fuentes subst Out: N. Zedan
84' Curico Unido N. Fernandez subst Out: R. Riveros
83' Curico Unido J. Romo Card Yellow Card
76' San Marcos de Arica A. Galleguillos subst Out: G. Reyes
76' Curico Unido M. Lopes Acevedo subst Out: J. Alfaro
76' Curico Unido E. Ormeno subst Out: J. Romo
76' Curico Unido C. Bustamante subst Out: I. Aliaga
75' San Marcos de Arica B. Sagredo subst Out: A. Abalos
73' Curico Unido R. de La Fuente Card Yellow Card
67' San Marcos de Arica N. Donadell Goal Normal Goal
63' Curico Unido R. Colombo Card Yellow Card
60' San Marcos de Arica C. Guerra Card Yellow Card
58' Curico Unido B. Inostroza subst Out: J. Retamales
47' San Marcos de Arica C. Melivilu Fuentes Goal Normal Goal
45+4' San Marcos de Arica A. Maidana Card Yellow Card
42' San Marcos de Arica G. Cubillos subst Out: A. Maidana
31' Curico Unido N. Fernandez Goal Normal Goal
22' San Marcos de Arica A. Cazula Card Yellow Card
League Standings
Local standings cache Β· Primera B 2026
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAGDForm
Cobreloa Promotion - Liga de Primera 1 12 24 7 3 2 25 14 11 WLWWL
Santiago Wanderers Promotion - Liga de Primera (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals) 2 12 22 6 4 2 25 15 10 WWDLW
D. Puerto Montt Promotion - Liga de Primera (Promotion - Play Offs: Quarter-finals) 3 11 22 7 1 3 15 8 7 WWLWD
San Marcos de Arica Promotion - Liga de Primera (Promotion - Play Offs: Quarter-finals) 4 11 21 5 6 0 16 8 8 DWWWW
Antofagasta Promotion - Liga de Primera (Promotion - Play Offs: Quarter-finals) 5 11 20 6 2 3 20 13 7 WLWWD
Recoleta Promotion - Liga de Primera (Promotion - Play Offs: Quarter-finals) 6 12 19 6 1 5 21 21 0 LWLLD
Magallanes Promotion - Liga de Primera (Promotion - Play Offs: Quarter-finals) 7 12 18 5 3 4 19 19 0 WLLWL
Union Espanola Promotion - Liga de Primera (Promotion - Play Offs: Quarter-finals) 8 11 17 5 2 4 14 11 3 WWWDD
Deportes Copiapo 9 12 15 4 3 5 16 21 -5 LWWLL
Deportes Temuco 10 11 14 3 5 3 17 15 2 LDWLD
San Luis 11 11 13 3 4 4 17 19 -2 LWLWL
Union San Felipe 12 12 12 3 3 6 10 20 -10 WLLLW
Deportes Iquique 13 11 11 2 5 4 13 15 -2 DDWLD
Curico Unido 14 12 11 2 5 5 13 23 -10 LDLWD
Deportes Santa Cruz 15 11 7 1 4 6 14 21 -7 LDLLD
Rangers de Talca Relegation - Segunda Division 16 12 3 0 3 9 11 23 -12 LDLLD