Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 11:00 • Avangard Stadium
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
1.21 (league 1.32) 0.76 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.6% 30.0% 23.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.8%
0 - 0
13.9%
1 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Kaluga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Veles 0 13.9% 10.6% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.8% 12.8% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.2% 7.8% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.1% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVelesKaluga
Played51
Form67%33%
Attack67%7%
Defense73%93%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 21 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.81 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Veles Kaluga
HATHAT
Played91019011
Wins56%40%47%—0%0%
Draws22%40%32%—100%100%
Loses22%20%21%—0%0%

Form: Veles: DWDWDWWWLDLLDWDWWWL • Kaluga: D

League goals

Metric Veles Kaluga
HATHAT
GF total141327011
GF avg1.61.31.40.01.01.0
GA total7714011
GA avg0.80.70.70.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVelesKaluga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%42%100%100%
1.532%32%0%0%
2.516%0%0%0%
3.511%0%0%0%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVelesKaluga
HATHAT
Clean sheets5611000
Failed to score044000

Penalties

MetricVelesKaluga
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricVelesKaluga
Wins30
Draws11
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-4——
Biggest losses1-22-1——
Goals For5401
Goals Against2201

Model comparison

MetricVelesKaluga
Form91%9%
Att91%9%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h80%20%
Goals60%40%
Total67.3%32.7%

Advice: Double chance : Veles or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ 1xBet
Draw3.70 @ Marathonbet
Away4.68 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.94 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ Marathonbet
No1.94 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Veles = 1.21 (league 1.32), Kaluga = 0.76 (league 1.05)

Kaluga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Veles 0 13.9% 10.6% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.8% 12.8% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.2% 7.8% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.1% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.6% · Draw 30.0% · Away win 23.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1