Mon, Apr 13 2026 • 21:00 •
Estadio Sierra Nevada
Expected Goals
1.38 (league 1.23)
2.36 (league 0.89)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 21.2% | 19.2% | 55.9% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.1%
1 - 1
7.7%
1 - 3
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Internacional Palmira | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Union Magdalena | 0 | 2.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 2.0% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Union Magdalena | Internacional Palmira |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 87% |
| Attack | 79% | 64% |
| Defense | 64% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-6
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Union Magdalena | Internacional Palmira | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| Wins | 57% | 83% | 69% | 83% | 71% | 77% |
| Draws | 29% | 0% | 15% | 0% | 29% | 15% |
| Loses | 14% | 17% | 15% | 17% | 0% | 8% |
Union MagdalenaDWLWWWWDWLWWW
Internacional PalmiraWWLWWWWDDWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Union Magdalena | Internacional Palmira | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 12 | 24 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 7 | 5 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Union Magdalena | Internacional Palmira | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 85% | 69% | 100% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 62% | 23% | 69% | 23% |
| 2.5 | 31% | 0% | 15% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Union Magdalena | Internacional Palmira | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Union Magdalena | Internacional Palmira |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Union Magdalena | Internacional Palmira |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 1-3 | 3-1 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-1 | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Union Magdalena | Internacional Palmira |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 48% | 52% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 57% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 49.0% | 51.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.04 @ Dafabet
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away4.00 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.73 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.09 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ 10Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Union Magdalena
vs
Internacional Palmira
Expected goals
1.38
Union Magdalena xG
League Avg: 1.23
Total
3.74
2.36
Internacional Palmira xG
League Avg: 0.89
1x2 probabilities
Home
21.2%
Draw
19.2%
Away
55.9%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 2
9.1%
Tip
1 - 1
7.7%
Tip
1 - 3
7.2%
More chances
1.5+
81%
Chance
2.5+
57%
Chance
3.5+
40%
Chance
BTTS
75%
Chance
🟨 Cards
3 - 6
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Union Magdalena = 1.38 (league 1.23), Internacional Palmira = 2.36 (league 0.89)
| Internacional Palmira | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Union Magdalena | 0 | 2.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 2.0% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.2% · Draw 19.2% · Away win 55.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1