Tue, Apr 14 2026 • 18:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
2.50 (league 1.36)
1.71 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.0% | 18.8% | 25.2% |
best score tips
2 - 1
7.9%
2 - 2
6.8%
3 - 1
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Lanús Res. | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Independiente Riva. Res. | 0 | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 3.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 3.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Independiente Riva. Res. | Lanús Res. |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 80% |
| Attack | 58% | 75% |
| Defense | 42% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Independiente Riva. Res. | Lanús Res. | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 25% | 100% | 33% | 75% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 25% | 0% | 33% | 13% |
| Loses | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 33% | 13% |
Independiente Riva. Res.WLLDWDLL
Lanús Res.WDWWWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Independiente Riva. Res. | Lanús Res. | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 4 | 16 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 5 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Independiente Riva. Res. | Lanús Res. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 75% | 100% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 38% | 63% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 13% | 25% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Independiente Riva. Res. | Lanús Res. | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Independiente Riva. Res. | Lanús Res. |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Independiente Riva. Res. | Lanús Res. |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | — | 4-2 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 2-0 | — | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Independiente Riva. Res. | Lanús Res. |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 46% | 54% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 43.8% | 56.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.50 @ Bet365
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away2.35 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.82 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.79 @ Marathonbet
No1.91 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Independiente Riva. Res.
vs
Lanús Res.
Expected goals
2.50
Independiente Riva. Res. xG
League Avg: 1.36
Total
4.21
1.71
Lanús Res. xG
League Avg: 0.99
1x2 probabilities
Home
51.0%
Draw
18.8%
Away
25.2%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 1
7.9%
Tip
2 - 2
6.8%
Tip
3 - 1
6.6%
More chances
1.5+
84%
Chance
2.5+
59%
Chance
3.5+
42%
Chance
BTTS
76%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Independiente Riva. Res. = 2.50 (league 1.36), Lanús Res. = 1.71 (league 0.99)
| Lanús Res. | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Independiente Riva. Res. | 0 | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 3.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 3.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.0% · Draw 18.8% · Away win 25.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1