Reserve League — Argentina
Thu, May 14 2026 • 18:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started

Godoy Cruz Res.

—

Gimnasia Mendoza 2

Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.36) 0.30 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.8% 32.4% 9.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
27.0%
0 - 0
23.6%
2 - 0
15.5%
Score & goals probability table
Gimnasia Mendoza 2
0 1 2 3 4 5
Godoy Cruz Res. 0 23.6% 7.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.0% 8.1% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.5% 4.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.9% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Away lean

Gimnasia Mendoza 2 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 19 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Godoy Cruz Res. -6.3, Gimnasia Mendoza 2 -15.0.

Lean confidence Upset risk: Medium-high Elo standalone
Godoy Cruz Res. Elo 1434.7 · -6.3
vs
Gimnasia Mendoza 2 Elo 1488.6 · -15.0
Elo gapGimnasia Mendoza 2 +19
Home / draw / away34% / 28% / 38%
Expected home share47%
Combined Elo2923.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Away lean
Confidence band Lean confidence
Upset risk Medium-high
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2923.3
Elo home share 47%
Match tone Good Watch
Metric Godoy Cruz Res. Gimnasia Mendoza 2
Overall Elo1434.71488.6
Form Elo14281482.9
Home / Away Elo1509.11491.3
Attack Elo1448.51448
Defense Elo1488.31543.2
Last 5 Elo change-6.3-15.0

There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Godoy Cruz Res. last-5 Elo change: -6.3; Gimnasia Mendoza 2 last-5 Elo change: -15.0.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGodoy Cruz Res.Gimnasia Mendoza 2
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack55%18%
Defense36%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0-0
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Godoy Cruz Res. Gimnasia Mendoza 2
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins50%0%25%50%0%25%
Draws17%17%17%17%50%33%
Loses33%83%58%33%50%42%
Godoy Cruz Res.DLLWLDLLLWWL
Gimnasia Mendoza 2DDLWLWLLDLWD

League goals

Metric Godoy Cruz Res. Gimnasia Mendoza 2
HATHAT
GF total7512628
GF avg1.20.81.01.00.30.7
GA total613195813
GA avg1.02.21.60.81.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGodoy Cruz Res.Gimnasia Mendoza 2
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%50%58%
1.525%50%17%25%
2.50%25%0%8%
3.50%8%0%8%
4.50%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGodoy Cruz Res.Gimnasia Mendoza 2
HATHAT
Clean sheets303235
Failed to score123246

Penalties

MetricGodoy Cruz Res.Gimnasia Mendoza 2
Scored (total | %)1 | 50.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)1 | 50.00%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricGodoy Cruz Res.Gimnasia Mendoza 2
Wins21
Draws12
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—2-0—
Biggest losses2-34-20-25-1
Goals For2221
Goals Against3425

Model comparison

MetricGodoy Cruz Res.Gimnasia Mendoza 2
Form55%45%
Att75%25%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total59.0%41.0%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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