Lanús Res. 1-4 Estudiantes La Plata Res: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Lanús Res. 1-4 Estudiantes La Plata Res: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Reserve League 🌍 Argentina

Thu, May 14 2026 · 18:00

Lanús Res.

1 - 4

Estudiantes La Plata Res

🏆 Reserve League

🌍 Argentina

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.84

League avg: 2.30

Both

2.75

League avg: 3.10

Away

0.91

League avg: 0.80

1X2 Probability

Home

63%

ELO-based: 40%

Draw

23%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

14%

ELO-based: 36%

Goal Probability

2.5+

50%

3.5+

30%

BTTS

50%

Best Score Tips

1 - 012%

2 - 011%

1 - 111%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Lanús Res. vs Estudiantes La Plata Res

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Lanús Res. vs Estudiantes La Plata Res.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Estudiantes La Plata Res
		0	1	2	3	4
Lanús Res.	0	6.4%	5.8%	2.7%	0.8%	0.2%
	1	11.8%	10.7%	4.9%	1.5%	0.3%
	2	10.8%	9.8%	4.5%	1.4%	0.3%
	3	6.6%	6.0%	2.7%	0.8%	0.2%
	4	3.0%	2.8%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%

ELO Overview

Home

1532-10

League

1500±0

Away

1511+16

ELO Verdict

Home edge, Low confidence, high upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Lanús Res.	1532	1534	1512	1579	1470	-10
Estudiantes La Plata Res	1511	1509	1509	1495	1593	+16

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Lanús Res.	3	12	26	8	2	2	28	13	WDLWW
Estudiantes La Plata Res	11	12	13	3	4	5	9	10	LDWDL

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Lanús Res.	5	67%	100%	45%	3.0	1.2
Estudiantes La Plata Res	5	33%	27%	55%	0.6	1.0

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Lanús Res.	3.0	1.7	2.3	0.8	1.3	1.1
Estudiantes La Plata Res	0.8	0.7	0.8	0.5	1.2	0.8

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Lanús Res.	2.3	3.0	1.1	0.8
Estudiantes La Plata Res	0.8	0.7	0.8	1.2

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	14.29%	25.00%		9.09%
16-30	3.57%	25.00%	30.77%	18.18%
31-45	14.29%	12.50%	7.69%	9.09%
46-60	14.29%	25.00%	23.08%	27.27%
61-75	14.29%		7.69%	18.18%
76-90	35.71%	12.50%	30.77%	9.09%

Team Comparison

67%

Form

33%

83%

Attack

17%

45%

Defense

55%

81%

Poisson

19%

71%

H2H

29%

56%

Goals

44%

67%

Total

33%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Lanús Res.	6-1	1-5		3-1	6 / 5	2 / 3
Estudiantes La Plata Res	3-0		0-2	2-1	3 / 2	2 / 2

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Lanús Res.	3	3	0	1	0	1
Estudiantes La Plata Res	6	4	2	6	3	3

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Lanús Res.	2	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Estudiantes La Plata Res	0	0%	1	100.00%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2024-09-17	Estudiantes La Plata Res	2 - 0 FT	Lanús Res.
2024-04-10	Lanús Res.	2 - 2 FT	Estudiantes La Plata Res
2023-11-06	Lanús Res.	1 - 0 FT	Estudiantes La Plata Res
2023-02-11	Lanús Res.	1 - 0 FT	Estudiantes La Plata Res
2022-10-10	Lanús Res.	1 - 0 FT	Estudiantes La Plata Res
2022-05-29	Lanús Res.	1 - 0 FT	Estudiantes La Plata Res

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	1.90	Homepage market
Draw	2.90	Homepage market
Away win	4.00	Homepage market
2.5 goals market	2.50	Homepage market

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90'	Lanús Res.	A. Duarte	Goal	Normal Goal
86'	Estudiantes La Plata Res	A. Traina	Goal	Normal Goal
67'	Estudiantes La Plata Res	B. Sagues	Goal	Normal Goal
58'	Estudiantes La Plata Res	F. Messina	Goal	Normal Goal
6'	Estudiantes La Plata Res	F. Dominguez	Goal	Normal Goal

League Standings

Local standings cache · Reserve League 2026

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Boca Juniors Res. Playoffs	1	13	27	8	3	2	24	7	17	DWLWD
Quilmes 2 Playoffs	2	13	27	8	3	2	13	6	7	LWWWD
Lanús Res. Playoffs	3	13	26	8	2	3	29	17	12	LWWLD
Newell's Old Boys Res. Playoffs	4	13	26	8	2	3	17	11	6	WWWDL
Defensa y Justicia Res.	5	13	24	7	3	3	30	14	16	WLDWD
Independiente Res.	6	13	23	7	2	4	22	13	9	LWWLW
Huracán Res.	7	13	22	6	4	3	19	11	8	WWDLD
Deportivo Riestra Res.	8	13	21	6	3	4	23	14	9	DWDLW
Belgrano Córdoba Res.	9	13	20	6	2	5	20	22	-2	WWWWL
Platense Res.	10	13	19	5	4	4	12	15	-3	LWDWD
Estudiantes La Plata Res	11	13	16	4	4	5	13	11	2	WLDWD
Ferro 2	12	13	15	4	3	6	12	16	-4	DLWLD
Independiente Riva. Res.	13	13	12	3	3	7	15	20	-5	LLLWD
Colón Res.	14	13	11	3	2	8	10	18	-8	WLDLL
Atl. Rafaela 2	15	13	10	3	1	9	17	21	-4	WLLLD
Central Córdoba SdE Res.	16	13	10	2	4	7	12	27	-15	LLLDD
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2	17	13	8	1	5	7	7	20	-13	LLLDD
San Martín San Juan Res.	18	13	7	2	1	10	13	43	-30	DLLLW
Vélez Sársfield Res. Playoffs	1	13	32	10	2	1	30	8	22	DWWWW
Racing Club Res. Playoffs	2	13	21	5	6	2	19	14	5	DDDWD
River Plate Res. Playoffs	3	13	21	6	3	4	18	14	4	WDWLD
San Lorenzo Res. Playoffs	4	13	21	6	3	4	16	16	0	WDWWL
Rosario Central Res.	5	13	20	5	5	3	18	14	4	LDDDW
Talleres Córdoba Res.	6	13	19	5	4	4	18	13	5	LWLLD
Unión Santa Fe Res.	7	13	19	4	7	2	17	16	1	WDDWD
Gimnasia La Plata Res.	8	13	18	5	3	5	16	12	4	WDLLW
Argentinos Juniors Res.	9	13	18	4	6	3	14	12	2	WDLLD
Atlético Tucumán Res.	10	13	18	5	3	5	16	20	-4	WLLDL
Instituto Res.	11	13	17	3	8	2	13	11	2	LDDDD
Banfield Res.	12	13	16	4	4	5	10	13	-3	LDWWW
Gimnasia Mendoza 2	13	13	16	4	4	5	11	15	-4	WDWLD
Tigre Res.	14	13	15	4	3	6	11	14	-3	LWWLD
Barracas Central Res.	15	13	14	4	2	7	9	18	-9	LWLWD
Sarmiento Res.	16	13	12	3	3	7	11	19	-8	LLLWD
Godoy Cruz Res.	17	13	11	3	2	8	14	22	-8	LLWWL
Aldosivi Res.	18	13	10	3	1	9	12	24	-12	WLLLL