Sarmiento Res. 1-2 San Lorenzo Res.: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Sarmiento Res. 1-2 San Lorenzo Res.: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Reserve League 🌍 Argentina

Thu, May 14 2026 · 18:00

Sarmiento Res.

1 - 2

San Lorenzo Res.

🏆 Reserve League

🌍 Argentina

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

0.93

League avg: 0.80

Both

2.04

League avg: 2.00

Away

1.12

League avg: 1.20

1X2 Probability

Home

21%

ELO-based: 26%

Draw

30%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

49%

ELO-based: 50%

Goal Probability

2.5+

42%

3.5+

23%

BTTS

46%

Best Score Tips

0 - 115%

1 - 113%

0 - 013%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Sarmiento Res. vs San Lorenzo Res.

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Sarmiento Res. vs San Lorenzo Res..

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		San Lorenzo Res.
		0	1	2	3	4
Sarmiento Res.	0	13.0%	14.5%	8.1%	3.0%	0.8%
	1	12.0%	13.4%	7.5%	2.8%	0.8%
	2	5.6%	6.2%	3.5%	1.3%	0.4%
	3	1.7%	1.9%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%
	4	0.4%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

ELO Overview

Home

1431-9

League

1500±0

Away

1542+18

ELO Verdict

Away edge, High confidence, low upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Sarmiento Res.	1431	1419	1457	1394	1467	-9
San Lorenzo Res.	1542	1548	1521	1526	1541	+18

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Sarmiento Res.	16	12	12	3	3	6	10	17	DDWLL
San Lorenzo Res.	4	12	18	5	3	4	14	15	LLWWD

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Sarmiento Res.	5	33%	50%	10%	1.0	1.8
San Lorenzo Res.	5	47%	70%	20%	1.4	1.6

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Sarmiento Res.	1.0	0.7	0.8	1.2	1.7	1.4
San Lorenzo Res.	1.2	1.2	1.2	1.8	0.7	1.3

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Sarmiento Res.	0.8	1.0	1.4	1.2
San Lorenzo Res.	1.2	1.2	1.3	0.7

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15		30.77%	11.76%	18.75%
16-30	30.00%	7.69%	11.76%	12.50%
31-45		7.69%	5.88%	6.25%
46-60	30.00%	15.38%	11.76%	25.00%
61-75	20.00%	15.38%	23.53%	18.75%
76-90	20.00%	15.38%	29.41%	18.75%

Team Comparison

42%

Form

58%

42%

Attack

58%

47%

Defense

53%

25%

Poisson

75%

29%

H2H

71%

26%

Goals

74%

35%

Total

65%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Sarmiento Res.	2-0	1-2	2-3	4-0	2 / 2	3 / 4
San Lorenzo Res.	2-1	1-3	1-3	3-1	2 / 3	3 / 3

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Sarmiento Res.	3	2	1	5	2	3
San Lorenzo Res.	4	0	4	4	2	2

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Sarmiento Res.	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
San Lorenzo Res.	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2025-10-28	San Lorenzo Res.	5 - 2 FT	Sarmiento Res.
2025-05-29	Sarmiento Res.	3 - 2 FT	San Lorenzo Res.
2023-10-19	San Lorenzo Res.	6 - 0 FT	Sarmiento Res.
2023-02-17	San Lorenzo Res.	1 - 0 FT	Sarmiento Res.
2022-10-18	San Lorenzo Res.	0 - 0 FT	Sarmiento Res.
2022-04-10	Sarmiento Res.	1 - 2 FT	San Lorenzo Res.

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	3.20	Homepage market
Draw	3.20	Homepage market
Away win	2.05	Homepage market
2.5 goals market	1.67	Homepage market

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
80'	San Lorenzo Res.	E. Salas	Goal	Normal Goal
53'	Sarmiento Res.	B. Marquez	Goal	Normal Goal
39'	San Lorenzo Res.	E. Salas	Goal	Normal Goal

League Standings

Local standings cache · Reserve League 2026

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Boca Juniors Res. Playoffs	1	13	27	8	3	2	24	7	17	DWLWD
Quilmes 2 Playoffs	2	13	27	8	3	2	13	6	7	LWWWD
Lanús Res. Playoffs	3	13	26	8	2	3	29	17	12	LWWLD
Newell's Old Boys Res. Playoffs	4	13	26	8	2	3	17	11	6	WWWDL
Defensa y Justicia Res.	5	13	24	7	3	3	30	14	16	WLDWD
Independiente Res.	6	13	23	7	2	4	22	13	9	LWWLW
Huracán Res.	7	13	22	6	4	3	19	11	8	WWDLD
Deportivo Riestra Res.	8	13	21	6	3	4	23	14	9	DWDLW
Belgrano Córdoba Res.	9	13	20	6	2	5	20	22	-2	WWWWL
Platense Res.	10	13	19	5	4	4	12	15	-3	LWDWD
Estudiantes La Plata Res	11	13	16	4	4	5	13	11	2	WLDWD
Ferro 2	12	13	15	4	3	6	12	16	-4	DLWLD
Independiente Riva. Res.	13	13	12	3	3	7	15	20	-5	LLLWD
Colón Res.	14	13	11	3	2	8	10	18	-8	WLDLL
Atl. Rafaela 2	15	13	10	3	1	9	17	21	-4	WLLLD
Central Córdoba SdE Res.	16	13	10	2	4	7	12	27	-15	LLLDD
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2	17	13	8	1	5	7	7	20	-13	LLLDD
San Martín San Juan Res.	18	13	7	2	1	10	13	43	-30	DLLLW
Vélez Sársfield Res. Playoffs	1	13	32	10	2	1	30	8	22	DWWWW
Racing Club Res. Playoffs	2	13	21	5	6	2	19	14	5	DDDWD
River Plate Res. Playoffs	3	13	21	6	3	4	18	14	4	WDWLD
San Lorenzo Res. Playoffs	4	13	21	6	3	4	16	16	0	WDWWL
Rosario Central Res.	5	13	20	5	5	3	18	14	4	LDDDW
Talleres Córdoba Res.	6	13	19	5	4	4	18	13	5	LWLLD
Unión Santa Fe Res.	7	13	19	4	7	2	17	16	1	WDDWD
Gimnasia La Plata Res.	8	13	18	5	3	5	16	12	4	WDLLW
Argentinos Juniors Res.	9	13	18	4	6	3	14	12	2	WDLLD
Atlético Tucumán Res.	10	13	18	5	3	5	16	20	-4	WLLDL
Instituto Res.	11	13	17	3	8	2	13	11	2	LDDDD
Banfield Res.	12	13	16	4	4	5	10	13	-3	LDWWW
Gimnasia Mendoza 2	13	13	16	4	4	5	11	15	-4	WDWLD
Tigre Res.	14	13	15	4	3	6	11	14	-3	LWWLD
Barracas Central Res.	15	13	14	4	2	7	9	18	-9	LWLWD
Sarmiento Res.	16	13	12	3	3	7	11	19	-8	LLLWD
Godoy Cruz Res.	17	13	11	3	2	8	14	22	-8	LLWWL
Aldosivi Res.	18	13	10	3	1	9	12	24	-12	WLLLL