Thu, May 14 2026 • 18:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.36)
1.44 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.7% | 26.0% | 42.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
0 - 1
10.6%
1 - 2
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Talleres Córdoba Res. | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Unión Santa Fe Res. | 0 | 7.3% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 8.6% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Unión Santa Fe Res. carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 81 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Unión Santa Fe Res. +18.7, Talleres Córdoba Res. -1.9.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Unión Santa Fe Res.
vs
Talleres Córdoba Res.
Elo gapUnión Santa Fe Res. +81
Home / draw / away48% / 21% / 31%
Expected home share61%
Combined Elo3037.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3037.1
Elo home share
61%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Unión Santa Fe Res. | Talleres Córdoba Res. |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1541.6 | 1495.5 |
| Form Elo | 1547.4 | 1508 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1527.7 | 1489.7 |
| Attack Elo | 1536.9 | 1485.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1498.8 | 1547.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +18.7 | -1.9 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Unión Santa Fe Res. last-5 Elo change: +18.7; Talleres Córdoba Res. last-5 Elo change: -1.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Unión Santa Fe Res. | Talleres Córdoba Res. |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 47% |
| Attack | 73% | 82% |
| Defense | 64% | 45% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Unión Santa Fe Res. | Talleres Córdoba Res. | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 25% | 33% | 50% | 42% |
| Draws | 50% | 67% | 58% | 50% | 17% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 17% | 17% | 33% | 25% |
Unión Santa Fe Res.LDDWDDLWDWDD
Talleres Córdoba Res.LDWWWDDWDLLW
League goals
| Metric | Unión Santa Fe Res. | Talleres Córdoba Res. | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 17 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 7 | 8 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Unión Santa Fe Res. | Talleres Córdoba Res. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 83% | 67% | 42% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 25% | 42% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 8% | 17% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 8% | 8% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Unión Santa Fe Res. | Talleres Córdoba Res. | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Unión Santa Fe Res. | Talleres Córdoba Res. |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Unión Santa Fe Res. | Talleres Córdoba Res. |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | — | 5-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-0 | 2-4 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Unión Santa Fe Res. | Talleres Córdoba Res. |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 45% | 55% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 55.8% | 44.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.53 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Betfair
Away2.73 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.74 @ Marathonbet
No1.95 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.74 @ Unibet
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League standings
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