Lanús Res. 0-4 Independiente Res.: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Lanús Res. 0-4 Independiente Res.: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Reserve League 🌍 Argentina

Tue, Jun 9 2026 · 18:00

Lanús Res.

0 - 4

Independiente Res.

🏆 Reserve League

🌍 Argentina

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.67

League avg: 2.40

Both

3.03

League avg: 4.20

Away

1.36

League avg: 1.80

1X2 Probability

Home

38%

ELO-based: 33%

Draw

27%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

35%

ELO-based: 43%

Goal Probability

2.5+

56%

3.5+

34%

BTTS

55%

Best Score Tips

1 - 111%

2 - 19%

1 - 08%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Lanús Res. vs Independiente Res.

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Lanús Res. vs Independiente Res..

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Independiente Res.
		0	1	2	3	4
Lanús Res.	0	4.8%	6.6%	4.5%	2.0%	0.7%
	1	8.0%	11.0%	7.5%	3.4%	1.2%
	2	6.7%	9.2%	6.2%	2.8%	1.0%
	3	3.7%	5.1%	3.5%	1.6%	0.5%
	4	1.6%	2.1%	1.4%	0.7%	0.2%

ELO Overview

Home

1528-22

League

1500±0

Away

1575+28

ELO Verdict

Away edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Lanús Res.	1528	1522	1491	1618	1452	-22
Independiente Res.	1575	1609	1502	1604	1586	+28

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Lanús Res.	2	16	32	10	2	4	38	20	WLWLW
Independiente Res.	4	16	30	9	3	4	29	14	WLWDW

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Lanús Res.	5	60%	100%	33%	3.0	1.6
Independiente Res.	5	67%	67%	83%	1.6	0.4

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Lanús Res.	2.4	2.4	2.4	1.4	1.1	1.3
Independiente Res.	2.4	1.3	1.8	0.6	1.1	0.9

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Lanús Res.	2.4	2.4	1.3	1.4
Independiente Res.	1.8	1.3	0.9	1.1

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	15.79%	3.45%	5.00%	21.43%
16-30	5.26%	3.45%	25.00%	14.29%
31-45	13.16%	24.14%	5.00%	14.29%
46-60	18.42%	17.24%	20.00%	7.14%
61-75	13.16%	37.93%	10.00%	28.57%
76-90	31.58%	10.34%	30.00%	14.29%

Team Comparison

47%

Form

53%

65%

Attack

35%

Defense

54%

Poisson

46%

62%

H2H

38%

54%

Goals

46%

Total

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Lanús Res.	6-1	1-7	1-4	3-1	6 / 7	4 / 3
Independiente Res.	5-0	1-4	1-2	3-0	5 / 4	2 / 3

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Lanús Res.	4	3	1	2	1	1
Independiente Res.	7	5	2	3	0	3

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Lanús Res.	3	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Independiente Res.	2	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2025-10-02	Independiente Res.	3 - 1 FT	Lanús Res.
2025-04-29	Lanús Res.	2 - 2 FT	Independiente Res.
2024-10-03	Independiente Res.	1 - 1 FT	Lanús Res.
2024-04-24	Lanús Res.	2 - 0 FT	Independiente Res.
2023-05-27	Lanús Res.	1 - 0 FT	Independiente Res.
2022-08-10	Independiente Res.	1 - 2 FT	Lanús Res.

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	2.25	William Hill
Draw	3.30	Bet365
Away win	3.20	Unibet
Over 2.5	2.00	Bet365
Under 2.5	1.81	Pinnacle
BTTS Yes	1.75	William Hill
BTTS No	2.00	Betfair

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
54'	Independiente Res.	J. Palais	Goal	Normal Goal
40'	Independiente Res.	J. Arrayago	Goal	Normal Goal
30'	Independiente Res.	M. Diaz	Goal	Penalty
11'	Independiente Res.	F. Tempone	Goal	Normal Goal

League Standings

Local standings cache · Reserve League 2026

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Boca Juniors Res. Playoffs	1	16	36	11	3	2	32	7	25	WWWDW
Lanús Res. Playoffs	2	16	32	10	2	4	38	20	18	WLWLW
Defensa y Justicia Res. Playoffs	3	17	31	9	4	4	37	23	14	WLDWW
Independiente Res. Playoffs	4	16	30	9	3	4	29	14	15	WDWLW
Newell's Old Boys Res.	5	16	30	9	3	4	21	13	8	LWDWW
Quilmes 2	6	17	30	9	3	5	14	11	3	LWLLL
Belgrano Córdoba Res.	7	16	26	8	2	6	24	25	-1	WWLWW
Huracán Res.	8	16	25	7	4	5	22	15	7	LWLWW
Independiente Riva. Res.	9	17	24	7	3	7	22	21	1	WWWWL
Platense Res.	10	16	23	6	5	5	15	18	-3	LWDLW
Estudiantes La Plata Res	11	16	22	6	4	6	18	14	4	LWWWL
Deportivo Riestra Res.	12	16	21	6	3	7	24	18	6	LLLDW
Ferro 2	13	17	21	6	3	8	18	21	-3	LWLWD
Central Córdoba SdE Res.	14	16	16	4	4	8	17	30	-13	WLWLL
Colón Res.	15	16	15	4	3	9	14	21	-7	WDLWL
Atl. Rafaela 2	16	16	10	3	1	12	20	35	-15	LLLWL
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2	17	16	8	1	5	10	8	31	-23	LLLLL
San Martín San Juan Res.	18	16	8	2	2	12	15	49	-34	LDLDL
Vélez Sársfield Res. Playoffs	1	16	38	12	2	2	34	11	23	WLWDW
Racing Club Res. Playoffs	2	17	27	7	6	4	24	21	3	LLWWD
Atlético Tucumán Res. Playoffs	3	17	27	8	3	6	24	24	0	LWWWW
Rosario Central Res. Playoffs	4	16	26	7	5	4	24	16	8	WWLLD
Unión Santa Fe Res.	5	17	26	6	8	3	21	19	2	WWLDW
River Plate Res.	6	16	25	7	4	5	21	16	5	WDLWD
Argentinos Juniors Res.	7	16	25	6	7	3	20	15	5	DWWWD
Talleres Córdoba Res.	8	16	23	6	5	5	23	17	6	DWLLW
Gimnasia La Plata Res.	9	17	23	6	5	6	18	15	3	LDDWW
Instituto Res.	10	16	23	5	8	3	18	17	1	LWWLD
Banfield Res.	11	17	23	6	5	6	14	17	-3	WWLDL
San Lorenzo Res.	12	16	22	6	4	6	18	20	-2	LDLWD
Gimnasia Mendoza 2	13	16	20	5	5	6	14	17	-3	DWLWD
Barracas Central Res.	14	16	16	4	4	8	10	21	-11	LDDLW
Tigre Res.	15	16	15	4	3	9	13	21	-8	LLLLW
Sarmiento Res.	16	16	15	4	3	9	15	24	-9	LLWLL
Godoy Cruz Res.	17	17	14	4	2	11	18	28	-10	WLLLL
Aldosivi Res.	18	16	14	4	2	10	14	26	-12	WLDWL