Wed, Apr 15 2026 • 01:00 •
Estadio Miguel Grau
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.47)
0.41 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 70.0% | 21.2% | 7.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
20.1%
2 - 0
17.7%
0 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
| FBC Melgar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sport Boys | 0 | 11.4% | 4.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.1% | 8.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.7% | 7.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.4% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sport Boys | FBC Melgar |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 13% |
| Attack | 60% | 40% |
| Defense | 10% | 10% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sport Boys | FBC Melgar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 22% | 40% | 25% | 33% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 22% | 20% | 25% | 22% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 56% | 40% | 50% | 44% |
Sport BoysDLWLDLLWL
FBC MelgarWWWLLLDDL
League goals
| Metric | Sport Boys | FBC Melgar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 1 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 13 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sport Boys | FBC Melgar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 56% | 67% | 89% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 33% | 33% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 33% | 11% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sport Boys | FBC Melgar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sport Boys | FBC Melgar |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sport Boys | FBC Melgar |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | 4-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sport Boys | FBC Melgar |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 83% | 17% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 27% | 73% |
| Total | 51.2% | 48.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.05 @ 188Bet
Draw3.52 @ Pinnacle
Away3.05 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.13 @ SBO
Under 2.51.89 @ 188Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.80 @ William Hill
No2.01 @ 188Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Sport Boys
vs
FBC Melgar
Expected goals
1.76
Sport Boys xG
League Avg: 1.47
Total
2.17
0.41
FBC Melgar xG
League Avg: 0.96
1x2 probabilities
Home
70.0%
Draw
21.2%
Away
7.9%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
20.1%
Tip
2 - 0
17.7%
Tip
0 - 0
11.4%
More chances
1.5+
71%
Chance
2.5+
50%
Chance
3.5+
35%
Chance
BTTS
68%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Sport Boys = 1.76 (league 1.47), FBC Melgar = 0.41 (league 0.96)
| FBC Melgar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sport Boys | 0 | 11.4% | 4.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.1% | 8.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.7% | 7.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.4% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.0% · Draw 21.2% · Away win 7.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1