Croatia 2-1 Slovenia: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Croatia 2-1 Slovenia: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Friendlies 🌍 World

Sun, Jun 7 2026 · 18:45

Croatia

2 - 1

Slovenia

🏆 Friendlies

🌍 World

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.17

League avg: 1.00

Both

4.60

League avg: 2.30

Away

3.43

League avg: 1.30

1X2 Probability

Home

19%

ELO-based: 45%

Draw

22%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

59%

ELO-based: 31%

Goal Probability

2.5+

60%

3.5+

38%

BTTS

56%

Best Score Tips

1 - 38%

1 - 27%

1 - 47%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Croatia vs Slovenia

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Croatia vs Slovenia.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Slovenia
		0	1	2	3	4
Croatia	0	1.0%	3.4%	5.9%	6.7%	5.8%
	1	1.2%	4.0%	6.9%	7.9%	6.8%
	2	0.7%	2.4%	4.1%	4.6%	4.0%
	3	0.3%	0.9%	1.6%	1.8%	1.6%
	4	0.1%	0.3%	0.5%	0.5%	0.5%

ELO Overview

Home

1563-19

League

1507±0

Away

1501-10

ELO Verdict

Home edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Croatia	1563	1542	1535	1628	1548	-19
Slovenia	1501	1489	1498	1449	1534	-10

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Croatia	—	3	3	1	0	2	3	6	WLL
Slovenia	—	3	4	1	1	1	4	4	LWD

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Croatia	3	33%	21%	57%	1.0	2.0
Slovenia	3	44%	29%	71%	1.3	1.3

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Croatia	0.0	1.5	1.0	2.0	2.0	2.0
Slovenia	1.0	1.5	1.3	1.0	1.5	1.3

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Croatia	1.0	0.0	2.0	2.0
Slovenia	1.3	1.5	1.3	1.5

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	33.33%		16.67%	25.00%
16-30				25.00%
31-45	33.33%	25.00%	33.33%	25.00%
46-60		50.00%
61-75		25.00%
76-90	33.33%		50.00%	25.00%

Team Comparison

43%

Form

57%

43%

Attack

57%

Defense

Poisson

H2H

67%

Goals

33%

49%

Total

51%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Croatia		1-2	0-2	3-1	0 / 2	2 / 3
Slovenia		2-3		1-0	1 / 3	1 / 2

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Croatia	0	0	0	1	1	0
Slovenia	0	0	0	1	0	1

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Croatia	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
Slovenia	0	0%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2022-03-26	Croatia	1 - 1 FT	Slovenia
2021-09-07	Croatia	3 - 0 FT	Slovenia
2021-03-24	Slovenia	1 - 0 FT	Croatia

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	1.39	10Bet
Draw	5.25	1xBet
Away win	10.50	Betano
Over 2.5	2.01	1xBet
Under 2.5	1.92	Unibet
BTTS Yes	2.38	Bet365
BTTS No	1.66	Unibet

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Stats

Stat	Croatia	Slovenia
expected_goals	—	—
Ball Possession	67%	33%
Total Shots	22	13
Shots on Goal	6	4
Shots off Goal	10	6
Blocked Shots	6	3
Shots insidebox	11	10
Shots outsidebox	11	3
Corner Kicks	8	4
Offsides	—	—
Fouls	5	11
Yellow Cards	—	—
Red Cards	—	—
Goalkeeper Saves	3	4
Total passes	620	306
Passes accurate	551	238
Passes %	89%	78%
goals_prevented	—	—

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90+3'	Croatia	M. Pasalic	Goal	Assist: J. Stanisic
89'	Slovenia	V. Drkusic	subst	Out: D. Zec
83'	Slovenia	A. Sporar	Goal	Normal Goal
82'	Croatia	M. Erlic	subst	Out: J. Sutalo
65'	Croatia	I. Perisic	subst	Out: N. Vlasic
65'	Croatia	M. Pasalic	subst	Out: L. Sucic
64'	Slovenia	T. Begic	subst	Out: A. Matko
64'	Slovenia	Z. Vipotnik	subst	Out: A. Sporar
64'	Slovenia	J. Bijol	subst	Out: D. Brekalo
58'	Croatia	L. Modric	subst	Out: M. Pasalic
51'	Croatia	L. Modric	Goal	Assist: I. Perisic
46'	Croatia	M. Kovacic	subst	Out: P. Sucic
46'	Croatia	A. Kramaric	subst	Out: M. Baturina
46'	Croatia	A. Budimir	subst	Out: I. Matanovic
16'	Slovenia	Z. Karnicnik	subst	Out: S. Kuzmic