Ligue 1 — Algeria
Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 21:00 • Stade du 5 Juillet
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.88 (league 1.26) 1.02 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.2% 31.7% 37.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.3%
0 - 0
15.0%
1 - 1
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
CS Constantine
0 1 2 3 4 5
USM Alger 0 15.0% 15.3% 7.8% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.2% 13.4% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 5.8% 5.9% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.7% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUSM AlgerCS Constantine
Played55
Form40%87%
Attack28%44%
Defense78%89%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric USM Alger CS Constantine
HATHAT
Played8917111021
Wins25%33%29%64%30%48%
Draws63%56%59%36%20%29%
Loses13%11%12%0%50%24%

Form: USM Alger: DWDLDDWWDDWDWDDLD • CS Constantine: WLWLDDDLWLWWDLWDWWWWD

League goals

Metric USM Alger CS Constantine
HATHAT
GF total9101916925
GF avg1.11.11.11.50.91.2
GA total771461016
GA avg0.90.80.80.51.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUSM AlgerCS Constantine
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%65%71%57%
1.529%18%48%19%
2.56%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUSM AlgerCS Constantine
HATHAT
Clean sheets336639
Failed to score134156

Penalties

MetricUSM AlgerCS Constantine
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricUSM AlgerCS Constantine
Wins24
Draws23
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-32-00-2
Biggest losses1-21-0—2-0
Goals For2322
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricUSM AlgerCS Constantine
Form32%68%
Att38%62%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total42.3%57.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or CS Constantine and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.87 @ Betano
Draw3.10 @ 10Bet
Away5.62 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.72 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.48 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.62 @ Bet365
No1.61 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): USM Alger = 0.88 (league 1.26), CS Constantine = 1.02 (league 0.79)

CS Constantine
0 1 2 3 4 5
USM Alger 0 15.0% 15.3% 7.8% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.2% 13.4% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 5.8% 5.9% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.7% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.2% · Draw 31.7% · Away win 37.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1