Nõmme United 3-2 Kuressaare: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Nõmme United 3-2 Kuressaare: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Meistriliiga 🌍 Estonia

Sat, Jul 11 2026 · 14:00

Nõmme United

3 - 2

Kuressaare

🏆 Meistriliiga

🌍 Estonia

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

2.05

League avg: 1.90

Both

3.52

League avg: 2.80

Away

1.47

League avg: 0.90

1X2 Probability

Home

47%

ELO-based: 55%

Draw

26%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

27%

ELO-based: 21%

Goal Probability

2.5+

62%

3.5+

38%

BTTS

60%

Best Score Tips

2 - 19%

1 - 19%

2 - 27%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Nõmme United vs Kuressaare

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Nõmme United vs Kuressaare.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Kuressaare
		0	1	2	3	4
Nõmme United	0	3.0%	4.4%	3.2%	1.6%	0.6%
	1	6.1%	8.9%	6.6%	3.2%	1.2%
	2	6.2%	9.1%	6.7%	3.3%	1.2%
	3	4.2%	6.2%	4.6%	2.3%	0.8%
	4	2.2%	3.2%	2.3%	1.2%	0.4%

ELO Overview

Home

1605+12

League

1578±0

Away

1437-5

ELO Verdict

Home edge, High confidence, low upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Nõmme United	1605	1598	1550	1975	1462	+12
Kuressaare	1437	1435	1441	1454	1469	-5

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Nõmme United	7	18	19	6	1	11	34	43	LWLWL
Kuressaare	9	18	17	5	2	11	17	30	DWDLL

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Nõmme United	5	40%	35%	45%	1.4	2.2
Kuressaare	5	33%	20%	65%	0.8	1.4

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Nõmme United	2.3	1.4	1.9	2.2	2.6	2.4
Kuressaare	1.0	0.9	0.9	1.6	1.8	1.7

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Nõmme United	1.9	2.3	2.4	2.2
Kuressaare	0.9	0.9	1.7	1.8

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	8.57%	18.75%	16.67%	9.68%
16-30	14.29%	6.25%	21.43%	16.13%
31-45	14.29%	6.25%	14.29%	16.13%
46-60	20.00%	6.25%	14.29%	19.35%
61-75	17.14%	31.25%	9.52%	16.13%
76-90	25.71%	31.25%	23.81%	22.58%

Team Comparison

55%

Form

45%

64%

Attack

36%

39%

Defense

61%

62%

Poisson

38%

29%

H2H

71%

Goals

48%

Total

52%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Nõmme United	7-1	1-3	0-4	7-1	7 / 3	4 / 7
Kuressaare	3-2	2-3	0-3	4-0	3 / 3	3 / 4

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Nõmme United	0	0	0	2	1	1
Kuressaare	1	1	0	9	5	4

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Nõmme United	5	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Kuressaare	0	0%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-05-20	Kuressaare	2 - 1 FT	Nõmme United
2026-04-25	Nõmme United	2 - 1 FT	Kuressaare
2026-02-07	Kuressaare	3 - 3 FT	Nõmme United
2025-01-19	Kuressaare	2 - 1 FT	Nõmme United
2024-09-28	Kuressaare	4 - 1 FT	Nõmme United
2024-09-01	Nõmme United	2 - 2 FT	Kuressaare

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	1.95	William Hill
Draw	3.75	Betfair
Away win	3.60	888Sport
Over 2.5	1.53	Bet365
Under 2.5	2.55	Betfair
BTTS Yes	1.53	Bet365
BTTS No	2.63	Betfair

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90+6'	Nõmme United	Z. Beglarishvili	Goal	Assist: M. Palts
90+4'	Kuressaare	Y. Morishige	Goal	Own Goal
90'	Kuressaare	S. Prunn	subst	Out: J. Vahermagi
84'	Kuressaare	S. Sinilaid	subst	Out: R. Lukas
84'	Kuressaare	E. Demidov	subst	Out: M. Leivategija
81'	Nõmme United	K. Oostenbrink	subst	Out: T. Vendelin
80'	Nõmme United	K. Oostenbrink	Goal	Assist: A. Frolov
75'	Nõmme United	K. Matas	Goal	Assist: Y. Morishige
74'	Kuressaare	A. Kivi	subst	Out: A. Visse
74'	Kuressaare	G. Roivassepp	subst	Out: J. Vahermagi
70'	Nõmme United	K. Matas	Card	Yellow Card
63'	Nõmme United	I. Krasnov	subst	Out: K. Matas
63'	Nõmme United	B. Chisala	subst	Out: E. Ounapuu
63'	Nõmme United	A. Truuvaart	subst	Out: K. Laanelaid
56'	Nõmme United	B. Chisala	Card	Yellow Card
46'	Nõmme United	B. Vain	subst	Out: H. Jarvelaid
45+1'	Kuressaare	T. Jurisoo	Goal	Assist: S. Prunn

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
FC Levadia Tallinn Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)	1	19	46	14	4	1	49	16	33	WLDWW
Flora Tallinn Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)	2	18	36	12	0	6	38	19	19	WWLWL
Kalju Nomme Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)	3	19	34	10	4	5	33	16	17	WDDLD
Paide	4	19	32	9	5	5	30	23	7	WDWWD
Vaprus	5	19	26	8	2	9	27	35	-8	WLWLD
Tammeka	6	18	26	8	2	8	21	26	-5	LWWWD
Nõmme United	7	19	22	7	1	11	37	45	-8	WLWLW
Laagri	8	19	22	7	1	11	25	32	-7	WLLLL
Kuressaare Meistriliiga (Relegation)	9	19	17	5	2	12	19	33	-14	LLLDW
Trans Narva Relegation - Esiliiga	10	19	10	3	1	15	12	46	-34	LLLDL