USA W vs Japan W - footywow

Friendlies Women — World

Wed, Apr 15 2026 • 02:00 • Lumen Field

Match Finished

USA W

0 - 1

Japan W

Expected Goals

4.68 (league 1.84) 0.25 (league 1.19)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
65.0%	1.9%	0.3%

best score tips

4 - 0

14.4%

5 - 0

13.5%

3 - 0

12.3%

Score & goals probability table

		Japan W
		0	1	2	3	4	5
USA W	0	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	3.4%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	7.9%	2.0%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	12.3%	3.1%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	14.4%	3.6%	0.5%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	13.5%	3.4%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	USA W	Japan W
Played	3	1
Form	100%	0%
Attack	76%	6%
Defense	94%	88%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	13 \| 4.3	1 \| 1
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	1 \| 0.3	2 \| 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.30

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.30

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%

FT probability

2.5+

76%

FT probability

3.5+

54%

FT probability

BTTS

82%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	USA W			Japan W
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	3	0	3	0	1	1
Wins	100%	—	100%	—	0%	0%
Draws	0%	—	0%	—	0%	0%
Loses	0%	—	0%	—	100%	100%

Form: USA W: WWW • Japan W: L

League goals

Metric	USA W			Japan W
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	13	0	13	0	1	1
GF avg	4.3	0.0	4.3	0.0	1.0	1.0
GA total	1	0	1	0	2	2
GA avg	0.3	0.0	0.3	0.0	2.0	2.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	USA W		Japan W
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	100%	33%	100%	100%
1.5	100%	0%	0%	100%
2.5	67%	0%	0%	0%
3.5	67%	0%	0%	0%
4.5	67%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	USA W			Japan W
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	2	0	2	0	0	0
Failed to score	0	0	0	0	0	0

Penalties

Metric	USA W	Japan W
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	USA W	Japan W
Wins	3	0
Draws	0	0
Losses	0	1

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	6-0	—	—	—
Biggest losses	—	—	—	2-1
Goals For	6	0	0	1
Goals Against	1	0	0	2

Model comparison

Metric	USA W	Japan W
Form	100%	0%
Att	93%	7%
Def	67%	33%
Poisson Distribution	96%	4%
H2h	80%	20%
Goals	64%	36%
Total	80.0%	20.0%

Advice: Combo Winner : USA W and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.86 @ Dafabet

Draw3.58 @ Marathonbet

Away4.20 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Under 2.51.98 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365

No2.10 @ Betfair

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • USA W vs Japan W

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

USA W

Japan W

Friendlies Women • World • Wed, Apr 15 2026 • 02:00 • Lumen Field

Expected goals

4.68

USA W xG League Avg: 1.84

Total

4.93

0.25

Japan W xG League Avg: 1.19

1x2 probabilities

Home

65.0%

Draw

1.9%

Away

0.3%

Best score tips

Tip

4 - 0

14.4%

Tip

5 - 0

13.5%

Tip

3 - 0

12.3%

More chances

1.5+

95%

Chance

2.5+

76%

Chance

3.5+

54%

Chance

BTTS

82%

Chance

🟨 Cards

—

Exp.

#UsaW #JapanW #FriendliesWomen #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): USA W = 4.69 (league 1.83), Japan W = 0.25 (league 1.19)

		Japan W
		0	1	2	3	4	5
USA W	0	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	3.4%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	7.9%	2.0%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	12.3%	3.1%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	14.4%	3.6%	0.5%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	13.5%	3.4%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.9% · Draw 1.8% · Away win 0.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	USA W	Japan W
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0