League Cup — Iceland
Tue, Mar 10 2026 • 17:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
5.61 (league 2.32) 0.26 (league 1.89)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.0% 0.9% 0.2%
best score tips
5 - 0
13.0%
4 - 0
11.6%
3 - 0
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Valur Reykjavik
0 1 2 3 4 5
Thor Akureyri 0 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 4.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.3% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.6% 3.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 13.0% 3.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricThor AkureyriValur Reykjavik
Played43
Form83%67%
Attack100%47%
Defense87%87%
Goals For (tot | avg)19 | 4.87 | 2.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.52 | 0.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

7.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

7.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

65%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Thor Akureyri Valur Reykjavik
HATHAT
Played224213
Wins100%50%75%100%0%67%
Draws0%50%25%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%100%33%

Form: Thor Akureyri: DWWW • Valur Reykjavik: WWL

League goals

Metric Thor Akureyri Valur Reykjavik
HATHAT
GF total13619617
GF avg6.53.04.83.01.02.3
GA total112022
GA avg0.50.50.50.02.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineThor AkureyriValur Reykjavik
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%100%33%
1.575%0%67%33%
2.575%0%33%0%
3.550%0%33%0%
4.550%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricThor AkureyriValur Reykjavik
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricThor AkureyriValur Reykjavik
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricThor AkureyriValur Reykjavik
Wins02
Draws10
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins10-00-54-0—
Biggest losses———2-1
Goals For10541
Goals Against1102

Model comparison

MetricThor AkureyriValur Reykjavik
Form63%38%
Att73%27%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution94%6%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total70.0%30.3%

Advice: Combo Winner : Thor Akureyri and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ Betfair
Draw8.00 @ Bet365
Away11.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.30 @ Betfair
Under 2.54.70 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ 10Bet
No3.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Thor Akureyri = 5.61 (league 2.32), Valur Reykjavik = 0.26 (league 1.89)

Valur Reykjavik
0 1 2 3 4 5
Thor Akureyri 0 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 4.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.3% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.6% 3.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 13.0% 3.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.0% · Draw 0.9% · Away win 0.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1