Liga 3 — Portugal
Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 11:00 • Estadio Municipal de Mafra
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.77 (league 1.24) 0.49 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.7% 40.0% 21.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
28.2%
1 - 0
21.8%
0 - 1
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
Guimaraes B
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mafra 0 28.2% 13.9% 3.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.8% 10.7% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.4% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMafraGuimaraes B
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack56%100%
Defense33%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mafra Guimaraes B
HATHAT
Played101222111122
Wins70%25%45%45%45%45%
Draws30%42%36%18%36%27%
Loses0%33%18%36%18%27%

Form: Mafra: DLWDDWWWWLDDWWWDDWWLDL • Guimaraes B: DLWDDLDLWWWWDLWLWWLDWW

League goals

Metric Mafra Guimaraes B
HATHAT
GF total161531151126
GF avg1.61.31.41.41.01.2
GA total5192412719
GA avg0.51.61.11.10.60.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMafraGuimaraes B
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%68%77%50%
1.536%23%32%27%
2.514%14%9%9%
3.55%5%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMafraGuimaraes B
HATHAT
Clean sheets6176511
Failed to score123145

Penalties

MetricMafraGuimaraes B
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total25

Streaks

MetricMafraGuimaraes B
Wins44
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-23-00-2
Biggest losses—4-11-31-0
Goals For4333
Goals Against2432

Model comparison

MetricMafraGuimaraes B
Form41%59%
Att36%64%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h100%0%
Goals80%20%
Total52.8%47.2%

Advice: Double chance : Mafra or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.33 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.63 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.98 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mafra = 0.77 (league 1.24), Guimaraes B = 0.49 (league 1.01)

Guimaraes B
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mafra 0 28.2% 13.9% 3.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.8% 10.7% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.4% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.7% · Draw 40.0% · Away win 21.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1