Liga 3 — Portugal
Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 15:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.24) 0.98 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.6% 28.4% 28.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.4%
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 0
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
AD Marco 09
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sanjoanense 0 10.6% 10.4% 5.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.4% 13.1% 6.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.4% 8.3% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.6% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSanjoanenseAD Marco 09
Played55
Form7%40%
Attack38%25%
Defense25%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sanjoanense AD Marco 09
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins0%18%10%36%10%24%
Draws60%18%38%36%30%33%
Loses40%64%52%27%60%43%

Form: Sanjoanense: WDDDDDWDLDLLLLLLLLDLL • AD Marco 09: DDDWDDLDLLWDLWLLWLLLW

League goals

Metric Sanjoanense AD Marco 09
HATHAT
GF total13112412517
GF avg1.31.01.11.10.50.8
GA total201939151227
GA avg2.01.71.91.41.21.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSanjoanenseAD Marco 09
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%86%57%71%
1.543%67%24%43%
2.55%29%0%14%
3.50%5%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSanjoanenseAD Marco 09
HATHAT
Clean sheets123246
Failed to score347369

Penalties

MetricSanjoanenseAD Marco 09
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSanjoanenseAD Marco 09
Wins11
Draws53
Losses83

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-22-10-1
Biggest losses2-43-00-32-0
Goals For3222
Goals Against4333

Model comparison

MetricSanjoanenseAD Marco 09
Form14%86%
Att60%40%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total37.0%63.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or AD Marco 09

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.96 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.18 @ Pinnacle
Away2.63 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ William Hill
No1.90 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sanjoanense = 1.26 (league 1.24), AD Marco 09 = 0.98 (league 1.02)

AD Marco 09
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sanjoanense 0 10.6% 10.4% 5.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.4% 13.1% 6.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.4% 8.3% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.6% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.6% · Draw 28.4% · Away win 28.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1