Riga 4-1 Auda: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow
FT
Tue, May 12 2026 Β· 16:00
FT
4 - 1
πŸ† Virsliga
🌍 Latvia
🏟️ TBA
Pre-Match Predictions
Expected Goals
Home
1.90
League avg: 3.30
Both
3.45
League avg: 5.60
Away
1.55
League avg: 2.30
1X2 Probability
Home
32%
ELO-based: 57%
Draw
23%
ELO-based: 24%
Away
45%
ELO-based: 19%
Goal Probability
2.5+
74%
3.5+
53%
BTTS
80%
Best Score Tips
1 - 19%
2 - 19%
1 - 27%
Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Riga vs Auda

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Riga vs Auda.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.
FT Score Probability Grid
Auda
01234
Riga 0 3.2% 4.9% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8%
1 6.0% 9.3% 7.2% 3.7% 1.5%
2 5.7% 8.9% 6.9% 3.6% 1.4%
3 3.6% 5.6% 4.4% 2.3% 0.9%
4 1.7% 2.7% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4%
ELO Overview
Home
1746+7
League
1531Β±0
Away
1555+31
ELO Verdict
Home edge, High confidence, low upset risk
ELOOverallFormH/AAttackDefenseLast 5 +-
Riga17461756160619861663+7
Auda15551574152915581529+31
League Snapshot
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAForm
Riga211268213613WWDWW
Auda311258122512DWWWW
Recent Team Form
TeamPlayedFormAttackDefenseGF avgGA avg
Riga 5 87% 78% 78% 2.8 0.8
Auda 5 87% 83% 72% 3.0 1.0
Goal Trends
TeamGF HGF AGF TotGA HGA AGA Tot
Riga 3.0 3.4 3.3 1.3 1.1 1.2
Auda 2.8 1.8 2.3 1.4 0.8 1.1
Goals Trends, home + away avg.
TeamsGFGF H/AGAGA H/A
Riga 3.3 3.0 1.2 1.3
Auda 2.3 1.8 1.1 0.8
Goal Minutes
MinHome ForAway ForHome AgainstAway Against
0-15 9.09% 7.69% 18.75% 18.18%
16-30 12.12% 11.54% 18.75% 18.18%
31-45 21.21% 26.92% 18.75% 18.18%
46-60 15.15% 23.08% 18.75% 18.18%
61-75 15.15% 7.69% 12.50% 9.09%
76-90 27.27% 23.08% 12.50% 18.18%
Team Comparison
5%
Form
5%
48%
Attack
52%
56%
Defense
44%
5%
Poisson
5%
8%
H2H
2%
76%
Goals
24%
6%
Total
4%
Biggest Results
TeamWin HWin ALoss HLoss AGF H/AGA H/A
Riga 4-0 0-8 2-1 4 / 8 3 / 3
Auda 7-0 0-2 2-3 7 / 3 3 / 2
Clean sheets & failed to score
TeamCSCS HCS AFTSFTS HFTS A
Riga 4 2 2 0 0 0
Auda 3 1 2 0 0 0
Penalties
TeamScoredScored %MissedMissed %WonCommitted
Riga 2 100.00% 0 0% β€” β€”
Auda 2 100.00% 0 0% β€” β€”
Recent H2H
DateHomeScoreAway
2026-03-20 Auda 1 - 2 FT Riga
2026-02-17 Riga 4 - 1 FT Auda
2025-10-29 Riga 1 - 2 FT Auda
2025-09-13 Riga 6 - 0 FT Auda
2025-06-27 Auda 1 - 3 FT Riga
2025-05-05 Auda 1 - 3 FT Riga
Best Odds Snapshot
MarketBest oddBookmaker
Home win 1.50 Homepage market
Draw 4.10 Homepage market
Away win 5.00 Homepage market
2.5 goals market 1.57 Homepage market
BTTS market 1.67 Homepage market
Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.
Match Events
MinTeamPlayerTypeDetail
90+4' Riga Caio Ferreira Goal Assist: S. Oulad M'Hand
90+4' Riga Caio Ferreira Card Yellow Card
85' Riga Paulo Eduardo subst Out: M. Tonisevs
85' Riga O. Galo subst Out: K. Wassom
82' Auda S. Aranda Card Red Card
80' Riga Reginaldo Ramires Card Yellow Card
80' Riga Paulo Eduardo Card Yellow Card
80' Auda A. Arroyo Card Yellow Card
80' Auda J. Vergara Card Yellow Card
76' Riga O. Galo Card Yellow Card
75' Riga M. Badamosi subst Out: Reginaldo Ramires
66' Auda E. Bongemba subst Out: K. Kone
59' Riga M. Diop subst Out: Caio Ferreira
59' Riga Iago Siqueira subst Out: Juan Christian
57' Riga M. Diop Card Yellow Card
55' Auda T. Hrvoj subst Out: R. Kragliks
54' Auda D. Melniks subst Out: S. Aranda
54' Auda O. Rubenis subst Out: A. Ogunji
53' Riga M. Badamosi Goal Assist: R. Jurkovskis
38' Riga S. Oulad M'Hand Goal Normal Goal
22' Auda I. Kone Goal Assist: J. Vergara
20' Riga O. Galo Goal Assist: M. Badamosi
13' Auda W. Fofana subst Out: R. Sturins
11' Auda D. Zanetti Card Yellow Card
10' Auda N. Purins Card Red Card
League Standings
Local standings cache Β· Virsliga 2026
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAGDForm
RΔ«gas FS Promotion - Champions League (Qualification) 1 12 31 10 1 1 26 9 17 WWWDW
Riga Promotion - Conference League (Qualification) 2 13 30 9 3 1 42 16 26 DWWWD
Auda Promotion - Conference League (Qualification) 3 12 25 8 1 3 26 16 10 LWWWW
Super Nova 4 13 17 5 2 6 15 18 -3 WDLLW
FK Liepaja 5 12 15 4 3 5 14 18 -4 WLLDW
BFC Daugavpils 6 12 14 4 2 6 14 19 -5 LLDLD
Tukums 7 13 13 2 7 4 27 21 6 DDWWL
FS Jelgava 8 13 13 3 4 6 10 24 -14 DDWLW
Grobiņa Virsliga (Relegation) 9 13 12 2 6 5 9 21 -12 DDLDD
Ogre United Relegation - Nakotnes liga 10 13 3 0 3 10 11 32 -21 LLLLL