BFC Daugavpils 0-1 Rīgas FS: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow
FT
Wed, May 13 2026 · 15:00
FT
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Pre-Match Predictions
Expected Goals
Home
0.90
League avg: 1.30
Both
2.30
League avg: 3.60
Away
1.40
League avg: 2.30
1X2 Probability
Home
13%
ELO-based: 13%
Draw
27%
ELO-based: 24%
Away
60%
ELO-based: 63%
Goal Probability
2.5+
53%
3.5+
38%
BTTS
68%
Best Score Tips
0 - 114%
1 - 113%
0 - 010%
Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: BFC Daugavpils vs Rīgas FS

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for BFC Daugavpils vs Rīgas FS.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.
FT Score Probability Grid
Rīgas FS
01234
BFC Daugavpils 0 10.0% 14.0% 9.8% 4.6% 1.6%
1 9.0% 12.6% 8.8% 4.1% 1.4%
2 4.1% 5.7% 4.0% 1.9% 0.6%
3 1.2% 1.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
ELO Overview
Home
1459-31
League
1531±0
Away
1738+28
ELO Verdict
Away edge, High confidence, low upset risk
ELOOverallFormH/AAttackDefenseLast 5 +-
BFC Daugavpils14591459149114811410-31
Rīgas FS17381755162418721646+28
League Snapshot
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAForm
BFC Daugavpils611144251418WDLDL
Rīgas FS11128911259WWDWW
Recent Team Form
TeamPlayedFormAttackDefenseGF avgGA avg
BFC Daugavpils 5 33% 24% 65% 0.8 1.2
Rīgas FS 5 87% 88% 65% 3.0 1.2
Goal Trends
TeamGF HGF AGF TotGA HGA AGA Tot
BFC Daugavpils 1.0 1.6 1.3 1.0 2.4 1.6
Rīgas FS 2.7 1.8 2.3 0.8 0.8 0.8
Goals Trends, home + away avg.
TeamsGFGF H/AGAGA H/A
BFC Daugavpils 1.3 1.0 1.6 1.0
Rīgas FS 2.3 1.8 0.8 0.8
Goal Minutes
MinHome ForAway ForHome AgainstAway Against
0-15 12.50% 17.39% 9.09%
16-30 12.50% 17.39% 12.50% 9.09%
31-45 12.50% 8.70% 6.25% 45.45%
46-60 43.75% 17.39% 50.00% 9.09%
61-75 12.50% 21.74% 6.25% 9.09%
76-90 6.25% 17.39% 25.00% 18.18%
Team Comparison
28%
Form
72%
21%
Attack
79%
5%
Defense
5%
28%
Poisson
72%
%
H2H
1%
15%
Goals
85%
28%
Total
72%
Biggest Results
TeamWin HWin ALoss HLoss AGF H/AGA H/A
BFC Daugavpils 2-0 2-3 1-3 4-1 2 / 3 3 / 4
Rīgas FS 5-0 3-4 0-1 5 / 4 3 / 3
Clean sheets & failed to score
TeamCSCS HCS AFTSFTS HFTS A
BFC Daugavpils 2 2 0 2 2 0
Rīgas FS 6 3 3 1 1 0
Penalties
TeamScoredScored %MissedMissed %WonCommitted
BFC Daugavpils 0 0% 0 0%
Rīgas FS 3 100.00% 0 0%
Recent H2H
DateHomeScoreAway
2026-03-21 Rīgas FS 4 - 1 FT BFC Daugavpils
2026-02-28 Rīgas FS 1 - 0 FT BFC Daugavpils
2025-09-21 Rīgas FS 5 - 1 FT BFC Daugavpils
2025-06-30 BFC Daugavpils 1 - 7 FT Rīgas FS
2025-05-09 Rīgas FS 5 - 1 FT BFC Daugavpils
2025-03-15 BFC Daugavpils 1 - 2 FT Rīgas FS
Best Odds Snapshot
MarketBest oddBookmaker
Home win 7.00 Homepage market
Draw 5.50 Homepage market
Away win 1.28 Homepage market
2.5 goals market 1.44 Homepage market
BTTS market 1.83 Homepage market
Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.
Match Events
MinTeamPlayerTypeDetail
90+3' Rīgas FS A. Kouadio Card Yellow Card
72' BFC Daugavpils R. Skrebels subst Out: R. Aizups
72' BFC Daugavpils R. Aizups Card Yellow Card
66' Rīgas FS M. Talla subst Out: A. Kouadio
66' Rīgas FS D. Lemajic subst Out: I. Diomande
46' Rīgas FS G. Mankenda subst Out: M. Kigurs
34' Rīgas FS D. Lemajic Goal Assist: M. Talla
League Standings
Local standings cache · Virsliga 2026
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAGDForm
Rīgas FS Promotion - Champions League (Qualification) 1 13 34 11 1 1 29 9 20 WWWWD
Riga Promotion - Conference League (Qualification) 2 13 30 9 3 1 42 16 26 DWWWD
Auda Promotion - Conference League (Qualification) 3 13 25 8 1 4 26 19 7 LLWWW
FK Liepaja 4 13 18 5 3 5 16 19 -3 WWLLD
Super Nova 5 13 17 5 2 6 15 18 -3 WDLLW
BFC Daugavpils 6 13 14 4 2 7 15 21 -6 LLLDL
Tukums 7 13 13 2 7 4 27 21 6 DDWWL
FS Jelgava 8 13 13 3 4 6 10 24 -14 DDWLW
Grobiņa Virsliga (Relegation) 9 13 12 2 6 5 9 21 -12 DDLDD
Ogre United Relegation - Nakotnes liga 10 13 3 0 3 10 11 32 -21 LLLLL