Riga 4-1 Ogre United: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Riga 4-1 Ogre United: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Virsliga 🌍 Latvia

Sun, Aug 9 2026 · 15:00

Riga

4 - 1

Ogre United

🏆 Virsliga

🌍 Latvia

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

2.80

League avg: 3.00

Both

3.87

League avg: 4.00

Away

1.07

League avg: 1.00

1X2 Probability

Home

82%

ELO-based: 66%

Draw

12%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

ELO-based: 10%

Goal Probability

2.5+

65%

3.5+

41%

BTTS

57%

Best Score Tips

2 - 19%

3 - 18%

2 - 08%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Riga vs Ogre United

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Riga vs Ogre United.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Ogre United
		0	1	2	3	4
Riga	0	2.1%	2.2%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%
	1	5.8%	6.2%	3.4%	1.2%	0.3%
	2	8.1%	8.7%	4.7%	1.7%	0.5%
	3	7.6%	8.2%	4.4%	1.6%	0.4%
	4	5.3%	5.7%	3.1%	1.1%	0.3%

ELO Overview

Home

1809+8

League

1540±0

Away

1472-6

ELO Verdict

Home edge, High confidence, low upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Riga	1809	1823	1658	2015	1705	+8
Ogre United	1472	1467	1478	1583	1360	-6

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Riga	2	24	61	19	4	1	72	20	DWWWW
Ogre United	10	24	14	3	5	16	23	61	WLWLD

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Riga	5	87%	80%	93%	2.4	0.2
Ogre United	5	47%	47%	13%	1.4	2.6

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Riga	3.0	3.0	3.0	0.8	0.9	0.8
Ogre United	1.1	0.8	1.0	2.0	3.0	2.5

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Riga	3.0	3.0	0.8	0.8
Ogre United	1.0	0.8	2.5	3.0

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	8.96%	16.67%	20.00%	9.09%
16-30	14.93%	11.11%	20.00%	16.67%
31-45	22.39%	16.67%	20.00%	21.21%
46-60	14.93%	22.22%	16.00%	15.15%
61-75	13.43%	11.11%	16.00%	10.61%
76-90	25.37%	22.22%	8.00%	27.27%

Team Comparison

65%

Form

35%

63%

Attack

37%

93%

Defense

92%

Poisson

H2H

89%

Goals

11%

Total

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Riga	4-0	0-8		2-1	4 / 8	3 / 3
Ogre United	3-2	0-2	0-4	6-0	3 / 2	4 / 6

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Riga	11	7	4	1	0	1
Ogre United	1	0	1	8	3	5

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Riga	5	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Ogre United	4	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-06-13	Ogre United	1 - 4 FT	Riga
2026-04-22	Riga	4 - 0 FT	Ogre United

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	1.06	10Bet
Draw	17.06	Pinnacle
Away win	34.00	Bet365
Over 2.5	1.27	Superbet
Under 2.5	4.50	Betfair
BTTS Yes	2.50	Bet365
BTTS No	1.80	10Bet

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90+3'	Riga	Caio Ferreira	subst	Out: E. Maurs-Boks
83'	Riga	M. Badamosi	subst	Out: Reginaldo Ramires
83'	Riga	A. Taiwo	subst	Out: Paulo Eduardo
82'	Riga	A. Ankrah	Card	Yellow Card
81'	Ogre United	K. Cudars	subst	Out: J. Grinbergs
73'	Ogre United	K. Cudars	Var	Goal Disallowed - offside
73'	Ogre United	V. Mashchenko	subst	Out: E. Evelons
73'	Ogre United	A. Marchuk	subst	Out: L. Estevez Fernandez
72'	Riga	R. Aouani	Card	Red Card
72'	Ogre United	V. Mashchenko	Card	Yellow Card
68'	Ogre United	K. Cudars	Card	Yellow Card
62'	Riga	Caio Ferreira	Card	Yellow Card
59'	Riga	R. Jurkovskis	subst	Out: R. Aouani
59'	Riga	C. Saco	subst	Out: A. Ankrah
52'	Ogre United	M. Marusii	Card	Yellow Card
46'	Ogre United	M. Ivulans	subst	Out: J. Fokam
46'	Ogre United	K. Gulbis	subst	Out: T. Marusiy
45+4'	Riga	S. Oulad M'Hand	Goal	Assist: M. Badamosi
45'	Riga	Abner	Goal	Assist: M. Badamosi
26'	Ogre United	M. Marusii	Goal	Normal Goal
16'	Riga	M. Badamosi	Goal	Assist: M. Tonisevs
14'	Riga	A. Taiwo	Card	Yellow Card
9'	Ogre United	T. Mickevics	Card	Yellow Card
2'	Riga	Caio Ferreira	Goal	Normal Goal

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Rīgas FS	1	24	62	20	2	2	56	16	40	WWDWW
Riga	2	24	61	19	4	1	72	20	52	WWWWD
Auda	3	23	43	13	4	6	38	26	12	WDLDW
BFC Daugavpils	4	26	36	10	6	10	33	31	2	WWLWW
FK Liepaja	5	24	31	9	4	11	31	36	-5	LWLWL
Super Nova	6	23	27	8	3	12	25	35	-10	WLWLL
FS Jelgava	7	25	25	6	7	12	25	43	-18	LLLLW
Grobiņa	8	25	21	4	9	12	17	41	-24	LDLWL
Tukums	9	26	20	4	8	14	40	51	-11	LWLLL
Ogre United	10	24	14	3	5	16	23	61	-38	DLWLW