Premier League
— Uganda
Tue, Mar 10 2026 • 13:00 •
Kiira Road Police Arena
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.39)
1.03 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.9% | 30.2% | 34.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.5%
1 - 0
13.1%
0 - 1
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
| SC Villa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Police | 0 | 12.6% | 13.0% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.1% | 13.5% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.8% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Police | SC Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 53% |
| Attack | 27% | 60% |
| Defense | 60% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
67%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Police | SC Villa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| Wins | 67% | 30% | 47% | 78% | 38% | 59% |
| Draws | 11% | 40% | 26% | 22% | 25% | 24% |
| Loses | 22% | 30% | 26% | 0% | 38% | 18% |
Form: Police: DWDLWWWLWDWWWLDWDLL • SC Villa: LDWWWWWDLWWWLWDDW
League goals
| Metric | Police | SC Villa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 14 | 30 | 18 | 8 | 26 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 8 | 14 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Police | SC Villa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 74% | 82% | 47% |
| 1.5 | 53% | 32% | 35% | 12% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 5% | 18% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 5% | 6% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Police | SC Villa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Police | SC Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Police | SC Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-3 | 6-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-1 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Police | SC Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 62% |
| Att | 31% | 69% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 47% | 53% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 30% | 70% |
| Total | 32.3% | 67.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or SC Villa
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Police = 1.04 (league 1.39), SC Villa = 1.03 (league 0.87)
| SC Villa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Police | 0 | 12.6% | 13.0% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.1% | 13.5% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.8% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.9% · Draw 30.2% · Away win 34.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1