URA 1-1 Calvary: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

URA 1-1 Calvary: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Premier League 🌍 Uganda

Tue, May 12 2026 · 14:00

URA

1 - 1

Calvary

🏆 Premier League

🌍 Uganda

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.70

League avg: 0.90

Both

2.45

League avg: 1.30

Away

0.75

League avg: 0.40

1X2 Probability

Home

78%

ELO-based: 45%

Draw

16%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

ELO-based: 31%

Goal Probability

2.5+

43%

3.5+

31%

BTTS

53%

Best Score Tips

1 - 015%

2 - 013%

1 - 111%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: URA vs Calvary

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for URA vs Calvary.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Calvary
		0	1	2	3	4
URA	0	8.6%	6.5%	2.4%	0.6%	0.1%
	1	14.7%	11.0%	4.1%	1.0%	0.2%
	2	12.5%	9.4%	3.5%	0.9%	0.2%
	3	7.1%	5.3%	2.0%	0.5%	0.1%
	4	3.0%	2.3%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%

ELO Overview

Home

1485-6

League

1513±0

Away

1420+34

ELO Verdict

Home edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
URA	1485	1478	1531	1472	1558	-6
Calvary	1420	1436	1439	1365	1497	+34

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
URA	11	27	26	4	14	9	23	29	DLDDD
Calvary	15	26	16	3	7	16	11	35	DDWLW

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
URA	5	27%	63%	25%	1.0	1.2
Calvary	5	53%	25%	75%	0.4	0.4

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
URA	1.4	0.4	0.9	1.2	1.0	1.1
Calvary	0.5	0.3	0.4	0.7	2.0	1.3

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
URA	0.9	1.4	1.1	1.2
Calvary	0.4	0.3	1.3	2.0

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	4.35%	16.67%	16.13%	17.65%
16-30	13.04%		12.90%	23.53%
31-45	34.78%	16.67%	9.68%	14.71%
46-60	8.70%	41.67%	25.81%	11.76%
61-75	26.09%	16.67%	12.90%	20.59%
76-90	13.04%	8.33%	19.35%	11.76%

Team Comparison

33%

Form

67%

71%

Attack

29%

25%

Defense

75%

83%

Poisson

17%

H2H

Goals

52%

Total

48%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
URA	7-3		0-3	3-0	7 / 1	3 / 3
Calvary	2-0		2-4	5-1	2 / 2	4 / 5

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
URA	10	4	6	14	5	9
Calvary	9	7	2	18	8	10

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
URA	2	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Calvary	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-01-27	Calvary	0 - 0 FT	URA

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	1.33	Homepage market
Draw	4.50	Homepage market
Away win	7.50	Homepage market
2.5 goals market	2.00	Homepage market

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
40'	Calvary	L. Olaboro	Goal	Normal Goal
27'	URA	R. Otti	Goal	Normal Goal

League Standings

Local standings cache · Premier League 2025

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Vipers Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)	1	28	61	17	10	1	50	17	33	DDDWW
KCCA Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)	2	28	58	18	4	6	42	21	21	WWDLW
SC Villa	3	28	55	16	7	5	41	15	26	WDLWW
Kitara	4	28	54	16	6	6	40	19	21	LLWWD
NEC	5	27	48	12	12	3	27	16	11	WWDDW
Entebbe UPPC	6	28	47	13	8	7	25	19	6	DWWLL
Police	7	28	45	13	6	9	39	32	7	DLWLW
BUL	8	28	36	9	9	10	29	28	1	DDLWL
Express	9	28	36	9	9	10	28	29	-1	WWLLD
Maroons	10	28	35	8	11	9	25	24	1	DLDWD
URA	11	28	27	4	15	9	24	30	-6	DDDDL
Mbarara City	12	28	24	5	9	14	23	42	-19	LWWDD
Lugazi	13	28	24	5	9	14	19	35	-16	DLWLL
UPDF Relegation - Big League	14	28	21	5	6	17	23	39	-16	LLLDW
Calvary Relegation - Big League	15	28	17	3	8	17	12	39	-27	DWLWD
Buhimba Saints Relegation - Big League	16	27	15	4	3	20	16	58	-42	LLLLL