UPDF 1-2 KCCA: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow
FT
Wed, May 13 2026 Β· 13:00
FT
1 - 2
🌍 Uganda
🏟️ TBA
Pre-Match Predictions
Expected Goals
Home
0.75
League avg: 0.80
Both
1.70
League avg: 2.30
Away
0.95
League avg: 1.50
1X2 Probability
Home
15%
ELO-based: 19%
Draw
32%
ELO-based: 24%
Away
53%
ELO-based: 57%
Goal Probability
2.5+
39%
3.5+
28%
BTTS
57%
Best Score Tips
0 - 018%
0 - 117%
1 - 014%
Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: UPDF vs KCCA

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for UPDF vs KCCA.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.
FT Score Probability Grid
KCCA
01234
UPDF 0 18.3% 17.4% 8.2% 2.6% 0.6%
1 13.7% 13.0% 6.2% 2.0% 0.5%
2 5.1% 4.9% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
ELO Overview
Home
1424-3
League
1513Β±0
Away
1621+9
ELO Verdict
Away edge, High confidence, low upset risk
ELOOverallFormH/AAttackDefenseLast 5 +-
UPDF14241420145714341496-3
KCCA16211634152316341632+9
League Snapshot
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAForm
UPDF14272156162237LWDLL
KCCA2275517464020WWLDW
Recent Team Form
TeamPlayedFormAttackDefenseGF avgGA avg
UPDF 5 27% 71% 0% 1.0 1.4
KCCA 5 67% 86% 71% 1.2 0.4
Goal Trends
TeamGF HGF AGF TotGA HGA AGA Tot
UPDF 0.7 0.9 0.8 0.9 1.8 1.4
KCCA 1.9 1.0 1.5 0.6 0.8 0.7
Goals Trends, home + away avg.
TeamsGFGF H/AGAGA H/A
UPDF 0.8 0.7 1.4 0.9
KCCA 1.5 1.0 0.7 0.8
Goal Minutes
MinHome ForAway ForHome AgainstAway Against
0-15 13.64% 12.82% 16.22% 4.76%
16-30 9.09% 20.51% 8.11% 9.52%
31-45 22.73% 20.51% 29.73% 23.81%
46-60 22.73% 17.95% 10.81% 28.57%
61-75 13.64% 7.69% 10.81% 28.57%
76-90 18.18% 20.51% 24.32% 4.76%
Team Comparison
29%
Form
71%
45%
Attack
55%
22%
Defense
78%
29%
Poisson
71%
7%
H2H
93%
18%
Goals
82%
25%
Total
75%
Biggest Results
TeamWin HWin ALoss HLoss AGF H/AGA H/A
UPDF 3-1 2-5 1-2 5-1 3 / 5 2 / 5
KCCA 4-0 0-3 0-1 3-1 4 / 3 2 / 3
Clean sheets & failed to score
TeamCSCS HCS AFTSFTS HFTS A
UPDF 7 4 3 14 7 7
KCCA 11 6 5 7 2 5
Penalties
TeamScoredScored %MissedMissed %WonCommitted
UPDF 1 100.00% 0 0% β€” β€”
KCCA 2 100.00% 0 0% β€” β€”
Recent H2H
DateHomeScoreAway
2026-01-27 KCCA 4 - 0 FT UPDF
2025-03-13 UPDF 1 - 2 FT KCCA
2024-10-19 KCCA 0 - 0 FT UPDF
2024-05-07 KCCA 1 - 0 FT UPDF
2023-12-28 UPDF 1 - 2 FT KCCA
2023-04-09 KCCA 1 - 1 FT UPDF
Best Odds Snapshot
MarketBest oddBookmaker
Home win 5.25 Homepage market
Draw 3.70 Homepage market
Away win 1.53 Homepage market
2.5 goals market 1.85 Homepage market
Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.
Match Events
MinTeamPlayerTypeDetail
89' KCCA E. Katenga Goal Normal Goal
87' KCCA E. Anyama Goal Normal Goal
37' UPDF E. Ochen Goal Normal Goal
League Standings
Local standings cache Β· Premier League 2025
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAGDForm
Vipers Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification) 1 28 61 17 10 1 50 17 33 DDDWW
KCCA Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification) 2 28 58 18 4 6 42 21 21 WWDLW
SC Villa 3 28 55 16 7 5 41 15 26 WDLWW
Kitara 4 28 54 16 6 6 40 19 21 LLWWD
NEC 5 27 48 12 12 3 27 16 11 WWDDW
Entebbe UPPC 6 28 47 13 8 7 25 19 6 DWWLL
Police 7 28 45 13 6 9 39 32 7 DLWLW
BUL 8 28 36 9 9 10 29 28 1 DDLWL
Express 9 28 36 9 9 10 28 29 -1 WWLLD
Maroons 10 28 35 8 11 9 25 24 1 DLDWD
URA 11 28 27 4 15 9 24 30 -6 DDDDL
Mbarara City 12 28 24 5 9 14 23 42 -19 LWWDD
Lugazi 13 28 24 5 9 14 19 35 -16 DLWLL
UPDF Relegation - Big League 14 28 21 5 6 17 23 39 -16 LLLDW
Calvary Relegation - Big League 15 28 17 3 8 17 12 39 -27 DWLWD
Buhimba Saints Relegation - Big League 16 27 15 4 3 20 16 58 -42 LLLLL