Septemvri Tervel 0-1 Chernomorets Balchik: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Septemvri Tervel 0-1 Chernomorets Balchik: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Third League - Northeast 🌍 Bulgaria

Wed, May 13 2026 · 14:00

Septemvri Tervel

0 - 1

Chernomorets Balchik

🏆 Third League - Northeast

🌍 Bulgaria

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

2.20

League avg: 3.00

Both

4.00

League avg: 5.90

Away

1.80

League avg: 2.90

1X2 Probability

Home

27%

ELO-based: 32%

Draw

24%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

49%

ELO-based: 44%

Goal Probability

2.5+

76%

3.5+

54%

BTTS

70%

Best Score Tips

2 - 18%

1 - 17%

2 - 27%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Septemvri Tervel vs Chernomorets Balchik

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Septemvri Tervel vs Chernomorets Balchik.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Chernomorets Balchik
		0	1	2	3	4
Septemvri Tervel	0	1.8%	3.3%	3.0%	1.8%	0.8%
	1	4.0%	7.3%	6.5%	3.9%	1.8%
	2	4.4%	8.0%	7.2%	4.3%	1.9%
	3	3.3%	5.9%	5.3%	3.2%	1.4%
	4	1.8%	3.2%	2.9%	1.7%	0.8%

ELO Overview

Home

1683+18

League

1496±0

Away

1734+32

ELO Verdict

Away edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Septemvri Tervel	1683	1694	1580	1836	1689	+18
Chernomorets Balchik	1734	1764	1615	1811	1772	+32

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Septemvri Tervel	2	28	72	23	3	2	83	19	LWWWW
Chernomorets Balchik	1	28	73	23	4	1	82	14	WWWWW

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Septemvri Tervel	5	80%	64%	82%	2.8	0.8
Chernomorets Balchik	5	100%	86%	95%	3.8	0.2

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Septemvri Tervel	3.9	2.1	3.0	0.8	0.6	0.7
Chernomorets Balchik	3.1	2.8	2.9	0.5	0.5	0.5

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Septemvri Tervel	3.0	3.9	0.7	0.8
Chernomorets Balchik	2.9	2.8	0.5	0.5

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90

Team Comparison

44%

Form

56%

42%

Attack

58%

Defense

41%

Poisson

59%

38%

H2H

62%

45%

Goals

55%

38%

Total

62%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Septemvri Tervel	9-0	0-4	0-4	3-0	9 / 5	4 / 3
Chernomorets Balchik	6-0	0-7		1-0	6 / 7	2 / 2

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Septemvri Tervel	16	7	9	3	1	2
Chernomorets Balchik	16	8	8	1	0	1

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Septemvri Tervel	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
Chernomorets Balchik	0	0%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2025-11-15	Chernomorets Balchik	1 - 1 FT	Septemvri Tervel
2025-05-25	Septemvri Tervel	1 - 0 FT	Chernomorets Balchik
2024-11-23	Chernomorets Balchik	2 - 1 FT	Septemvri Tervel
2023-05-06	Chernomorets Balchik	2 - 1 FT	Septemvri Tervel
2022-10-29	Septemvri Tervel	1 - 1 FT	Chernomorets Balchik
2022-05-22	Chernomorets Balchik	1 - 0 FT	Septemvri Tervel

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

League Standings

Local standings cache · Third League - Northeast 2025

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Chernomorets Balchik Promotion	1	30	79	25	4	1	85	14	71	WWWWW
Septemvri Tervel	2	30	75	24	3	3	85	20	65	WLWWW
Ludogorets III	3	29	73	23	4	2	97	17	80	WWWWL
Volov Shumen	4	30	66	21	3	6	77	28	49	WWWWW
Chernolomets 1919	5	30	60	19	3	8	74	40	34	WLWDD
Benkovski Isperih	6	30	57	17	6	7	65	37	28	LWWWL
Cherno more II	7	29	48	14	6	9	59	43	16	LWDLD
Ustrem Donchevo	8	30	48	15	3	12	66	63	3	LWWWL
Olympic Varna	9	32	36	10	6	16	58	80	-22	WWLLL
Fratria II	10	30	30	8	6	16	39	61	-22	WLLDD
Botev Novi Pazar	11	30	29	8	5	17	33	62	-29	LWLDW
Dorostol	12	31	28	8	4	19	29	64	-35	WLLLL
Aksakovo	13	30	28	8	4	18	37	64	-27	DLLWW
Svetkavitsa 14	14	30	27	7	6	17	25	47	-22	LWLLL
Spartak Varna II Relegation Playoff	15	30	25	7	4	19	40	67	-27	LLDLL
Riltzi Relegation Playoff	16	29	22	6	4	19	29	67	-38	DLWDL
Svetkavitsa Targovishte Relegation	17	32	0	0	1	31	5	129	-124	LLLLL