York United 1-4 Forge: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

York United 1-4 Forge: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Canadian Premier League 🌍 Canada

Sun, Jun 7 2026 · 18:00

York United

1 - 4

Forge

🏆 Canadian Premier League

🌍 Canada

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.42

League avg: 1.60

Both

2.66

League avg: 2.90

Away

1.24

League avg: 1.30

1X2 Probability

Home

35%

ELO-based: 27%

Draw

29%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

36%

ELO-based: 49%

Goal Probability

2.5+

49%

3.5+

28%

BTTS

53%

Best Score Tips

1 - 112%

1 - 010%

2 - 19%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: York United vs Forge

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for York United vs Forge.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Forge
		0	1	2	3	4
York United	0	7.0%	8.7%	5.3%	2.2%	0.7%
	1	10.0%	12.3%	7.6%	3.1%	1.0%
	2	7.1%	8.8%	5.4%	2.2%	0.7%
	3	3.4%	4.2%	2.6%	1.1%	0.3%
	4	1.2%	1.5%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%

ELO Overview

Home

1473-27

League

1495±0

Away

1577+28

ELO Verdict

Away edge, High confidence, low upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
York United	1473	1456	1488	1481	1454	-27
Forge	1577	1608	1517	1536	1576	+28

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
York United	4	7	12	3	3	1	11	8	DWWDL
Forge	1	8	19	6	1	1	10	3	WWWLW

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
York United	5	53%	67%	50%	1.6	1.2
Forge	5	80%	58%	75%	1.4	0.6

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
York United	2.3	1.0	1.6	1.0	1.3	1.1
Forge	1.0	1.5	1.3	0.0	0.8	0.4

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
York United	1.6	2.3	1.1	1.0
Forge	1.3	1.5	0.4	0.8

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	10.00%
16-30	10.00%	20.00%
31-45	20.00%		22.22%
46-60	30.00%	20.00%	11.11%	33.33%
61-75	30.00%	30.00%	33.33%	33.33%
76-90		30.00%	33.33%	33.33%

Team Comparison

Form

53%

Attack

47%

33%

Defense

67%

49%

Poisson

51%

15%

H2H

85%

31%

Goals

69%

37%

Total

63%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
York United	4-1	0-1		3-1	4 / 1	2 / 3
Forge	2-0	1-3		2-1	2 / 3	0 / 2

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
York United	2	1	1	0	0	0
Forge	6	4	2	1	1	0

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
York United	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
Forge	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2025-10-18	Forge	3 - 0 FT	York United
2025-08-09	York United	1 - 2 FT	Forge
2025-06-29	Forge	2 - 2 FT	York United
2025-04-27	York United	2 - 2 FT	Forge
2024-09-28	Forge	2 - 0 FT	York United
2024-08-24	York United	0 - 0 FT	Forge

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	3.35	Unibet
Draw	3.55	Betano
Away win	2.11	Dafabet
Over 2.5	1.95	Bet365
Under 2.5	1.88	Pinnacle
BTTS Yes	1.80	Bet365
BTTS No	2.10	William Hill

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
80'	York United	B. Badibanga	subst	Out: A. Almagro
79'	York United	J. Altobelli	subst	Out: G. Bitar
79'	Forge	R. Rama	subst	Out: N. Ampomah
79'	Forge	T. Borges	subst	Out: K. Bekker
74'	York United	R. Lopez	Card	Yellow Card
72'	York United	F. Sturing	subst	Out: O. Bassett
70'	Forge	B. Paton	Goal	Assist: T. Borges
68'	Forge	H. Massunda	subst	Out: M. Bourgeois
68'	Forge	M. Filion	subst	Out: B. Wright
68'	Forge	M. Babouli	subst	Out: N. Jensen
61'	York United	J. Cordova	subst	Out: S. Yeates
61'	York United	K. Kibato	subst	Out: L. Accettola
53'	Forge	M. Babouli	Card	Yellow Card
50'	Forge	T. Borges	Goal	Assist: A. Aromatario
47'	York United	M. Ferrari	Goal	Assist: J. Altobelli
32'	York United	J. Cordova	Card	Yellow Card
26'	Forge	H. Massunda	Goal	Normal Goal
17'	Forge	M. Jevremovic	Goal	Normal Goal

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Forge Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)	1	10	25	8	1	1	15	4	11	WWWLW
Cavalry FC Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)	2	10	23	7	2	1	19	5	14	WWLWW
Atlético Ottawa Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)	3	10	14	4	2	4	15	18	-3	WLDWW
York United Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)	4	9	12	3	3	3	13	17	-4	LLLDW
Supra du Quebec	5	9	11	3	2	4	13	14	-1	LDWDL
HFX Wanderers FC	6	10	9	2	3	5	9	14	-5	LLWDL
Vancouver FC	7	9	8	2	2	5	7	10	-3	WLDLW
Pacific FC	8	9	3	0	3	6	9	18	-9	DDLLL