Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 18:00 •
Alejandro Serrano Aguilar
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.33)
1.31 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.8% | 28.0% | 43.9% |
best score tips
0 - 1
13.3%
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 0
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Independiente del Valle | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Deportivo Cuenca | 0 | 10.1% | 13.2% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.9% | 13.0% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Deportivo Cuenca | Independiente del Valle |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 67% |
| Attack | 50% | 90% |
| Defense | 70% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
65%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Deportivo Cuenca | Independiente del Valle | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 33% | 50% | 43% | 75% | 67% | 71% |
| Draws | 67% | 0% | 29% | 25% | 0% | 14% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 29% | 0% | 33% | 14% |
Form: Deportivo Cuenca: LWWDLDW • Independiente del Valle: WWWDLWW
League goals
| Metric | Deportivo Cuenca | Independiente del Valle | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Deportivo Cuenca | Independiente del Valle | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 71% | 86% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 0% | 86% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Deportivo Cuenca | Independiente del Valle | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Deportivo Cuenca | Independiente del Valle |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Deportivo Cuenca | Independiente del Valle |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-2 | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Deportivo Cuenca | Independiente del Valle |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 57% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 47.5% | 52.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Independiente del Valle
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.35 @ Unibet
Draw3.25 @ 188Bet
Away2.41 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.25 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.66 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.94 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Deportivo Cuenca
vs
Independiente del Valle
Expected goals
0.98
Deportivo Cuenca xG
League Avg: 1.33
Total
2.29
1.31
Independiente del Valle xG
League Avg: 0.99
1x2 probabilities
Home
27.8%
Draw
28.0%
Away
43.9%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 1
13.3%
Tip
1 - 1
13.0%
Tip
0 - 0
10.2%
More chances
1.5+
65%
Chance
2.5+
46%
Chance
3.5+
33%
Chance
BTTS
71%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Deportivo Cuenca = 0.98 (league 1.32), Independiente del Valle = 1.31 (league 0.99)
| Independiente del Valle | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Deportivo Cuenca | 0 | 10.1% | 13.2% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.9% | 13.0% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.9% · Draw 27.9% · Away win 43.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1