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Aucas vs Independiente del Valle Prediction, Odds & Stats | Liga Pro

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🏆 Liga Pro 🌍 Ecuador

Thu, Jul 16 2026 · 21:30

NS

Aucas

NS

Independiente del Valle

🏆 Liga Pro

🌍 Ecuador

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.34

League avg: 1.20

Both

2.66

League avg: 3.30

Away

1.33

League avg: 2.10

1X2 Probability

Home

29%

ELO-based: 22%

Draw

27%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

44%

ELO-based: 54%

Goal Probability

2.5+

51%

3.5+

30%

BTTS

52%

Best Score Tips

1 - 112%

1 - 09%

0 - 19%

FT Score Probability Grid

		Independiente del Valle
		0	1	2	3	4
Aucas	0	7.0%	9.2%	6.1%	2.7%	0.9%
	1	9.3%	12.4%	8.2%	3.6%	1.2%
	2	6.2%	8.3%	5.5%	2.4%	0.8%
	3	2.8%	3.7%	2.4%	1.1%	0.4%
	4	0.9%	1.2%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%

ELO Overview

Home

1550+16

League

1529±0

Away

1705+13

ELO Verdict

Away edge, High confidence, low upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Aucas	1550	1567	1530	1543	1534	+16
Independiente del Valle	1705	1719	1626	1744	1643	+13

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Aucas	3	17	29	8	5	4	20	16	WLWDW
Independiente del Valle	1	17	40	13	1	3	36	18	WWLWW

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Aucas	5	67%	50%	58%	1.2	1.0
Independiente del Valle	5	80%	100%	58%	2.8	1.0

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Aucas	1.4	0.9	1.2	0.8	1.1	0.9
Independiente del Valle	2.0	2.3	2.1	1.0	1.1	1.1

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Aucas	1.2	1.4	0.9	0.8
Independiente del Valle	2.1	2.3	1.1	1.1

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	10.53%	11.43%	11.76%	15.79%
16-30	5.26%	11.43%	29.41%	21.05%
31-45	31.58%	20.00%		15.79%
46-60	15.79%	17.14%	5.88%	31.58%
61-75	21.05%	14.29%	17.65%
76-90	15.79%	25.71%	35.29%	15.79%

Team Comparison

45%

Form

55%

3%

Attack

7%

5%

Defense

5%

4%

Poisson

6%

15%

H2H

85%

36%

Goals

64%

36%

Total

64%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Aucas	3-1	0-1	0-1	3-0	3 / 2	2 / 3
Independiente del Valle	4-0	0-3	0-2	2-0	4 / 4	3 / 2

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Aucas	7	3	4	5	2	3
Independiente del Valle	7	4	3	2	1	1

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Aucas	2	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Independiente del Valle	0	0%	2	100.00%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-03-14	Independiente del Valle	2 - 2 FT	Aucas
2025-07-19	Independiente del Valle	2 - 1 FT	Aucas
2025-03-28	Aucas	1 - 2 FT	Independiente del Valle
2024-09-01	Aucas	0 - 2 FT	Independiente del Valle
2024-03-24	Independiente del Valle	1 - 1 FT	Aucas
2023-11-11	Aucas	2 - 0 FT	Independiente del Valle

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.