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Maardu vs Tartu Welco Prediction, Odds & Stats | Esiliiga A

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🏆 Esiliiga A 🌍 Estonia

Mon, Jul 13 2026 · 16:00

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Maardu

NS

Tartu Welco

🏆 Esiliiga A

🌍 Estonia

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.28

League avg: 1.40

Both

2.92

League avg: 4.40

Away

1.64

League avg: 3.00

1X2 Probability

Home

20%

ELO-based: 34%

Draw

28%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

52%

ELO-based: 42%

Goal Probability

2.5+

58%

3.5+

35%

BTTS

57%

Best Score Tips

1 - 111%

1 - 29%

0 - 19%

FT Score Probability Grid

		Tartu Welco
		0	1	2	3	4
Maardu	0	5.4%	8.9%	7.3%	4.0%	1.6%
	1	6.9%	11.3%	9.3%	5.1%	2.1%
	2	4.4%	7.2%	5.9%	3.2%	1.3%
	3	1.9%	3.1%	2.5%	1.4%	0.6%
	4	0.6%	1.0%	0.8%	0.4%	0.2%

ELO Overview

Home

1584+11

League

1518±0

Away

1623+35

ELO Verdict

Away edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Maardu	1584	1586	1567	1744	1478	+11
Tartu Welco	1623	1645	1558	1890	1508	+35

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Maardu	5	18	23	6	5	7	26	38	LWWDW
Tartu Welco	1	18	42	13	3	2	54	23	WWWWD

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Maardu	5	67%	46%	62%	2.4	2.0
Tartu Welco	5	87%	62%	81%	3.2	1.0

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Maardu	1.4	1.4	1.4	1.3	2.9	2.1
Tartu Welco	3.6	2.4	3.0	1.7	0.9	1.3

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Maardu	1.4	1.4	2.1	1.3
Tartu Welco	3.0	2.4	1.3	0.9

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	12.00%	12.96%	10.26%
16-30	20.00%	11.11%	15.38%	21.74%
31-45	12.00%	12.96%	15.38%	26.09%
46-60	16.00%	18.52%	7.69%	17.39%
61-75	20.00%	12.96%	20.51%	13.04%
76-90	12.00%	24.07%	25.64%	21.74%

Team Comparison

43%

Form

57%

43%

Attack

57%

33%

Defense

67%

26%

Poisson

74%

38%

H2H

62%

57%

Goals

43%

4%

Total

6%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Maardu	3-2	1-2	0-3	5-0	3 / 3	3 / 5
Tartu Welco	5-1	1-6		2-0	5 / 6	3 / 2

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Maardu	2	1	1	4	2	2
Tartu Welco	5	2	3	2	0	2

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Maardu	2	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Tartu Welco	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-05-24	Maardu	0 - 1 FT	Tartu Welco
2026-03-21	Tartu Welco	5 - 1 FT	Maardu
2021-10-02	Tartu Welco	—	Maardu
2021-09-18	Maardu	7 - 0 FT	Tartu Welco
2021-09-12	Maardu	—	Tartu Welco
2021-07-30	Maardu	—	Tartu Welco

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	5.34	1xBet
Draw	5.00	1xBet
Away win	1.41	1xBet
Over 2.5	1.16	Unibet
Under 2.5	3.70	Unibet

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.