Changwon City 1-1 Chuncheon: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Changwon City 1-1 Chuncheon: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 K3 League 🌍 South-Korea

Sun, Jul 12 2026 · 09:00

Changwon City

1 - 1

Chuncheon

🏆 K3 League

🌍 South-Korea

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.73

League avg: 1.10

Both

2.95

League avg: 2.90

Away

1.22

League avg: 1.80

1X2 Probability

Home

49%

ELO-based: 49%

Draw

26%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

25%

ELO-based: 27%

Goal Probability

2.5+

54%

3.5+

32%

BTTS

54%

Best Score Tips

1 - 111%

2 - 110%

1 - 09%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Changwon City vs Chuncheon

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Changwon City vs Chuncheon.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Chuncheon
		0	1	2	3	4
Changwon City	0	5.2%	6.4%	3.9%	1.6%	0.5%
	1	9.1%	11.0%	6.7%	2.7%	0.8%
	2	7.8%	9.6%	5.8%	2.4%	0.7%
	3	4.5%	5.5%	3.4%	1.4%	0.4%
	4	2.0%	2.4%	1.5%	0.6%	0.2%

ELO Overview

Home

1524+7

League

1499±0

Away

1422+2

ELO Verdict

Home edge, High confidence, low upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Changwon City	1524	1525	1518	1458	1574	+7
Chuncheon	1422	1430	1471	1531	1429	+2

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Changwon City	5	16	24	6	6	4	17	15	WWWDD
Chuncheon	11	16	16	4	4	8	29	28	WDDLD

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Changwon City	5	73%	89%	56%	1.6	0.8
Chuncheon	5	40%	100%	0%	2.6	2.6

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Changwon City	1.3	0.9	1.1	0.9	1.0	0.9
Chuncheon	2.0	1.5	1.8	1.4	2.3	1.8

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Changwon City	1.1	1.3	0.9	0.9
Chuncheon	1.8	1.5	1.8	2.3

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	5.88%	10.00%		14.29%
16-30	17.65%	16.67%	6.67%	7.14%
31-45	23.53%	10.00%	20.00%	25.00%
46-60	5.88%	23.33%	13.33%	21.43%
61-75	29.41%	23.33%	26.67%	10.71%
76-90	11.76%	16.67%	26.67%	10.71%

Team Comparison

65%

Form

35%

38%

Attack

62%

76%

Defense

24%

64%

Poisson

36%

71%

H2H

29%

56%

Goals

44%

62%

Total

38%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Changwon City	2-0	2-3	0-1	2-0	3 / 3	2 / 2
Chuncheon	6-1	2-3	2-3	3-1	6 / 4	3 / 5

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Changwon City	5	3	2	6	2	4
Chuncheon	3	3	0	5	3	2

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Changwon City	0	0%	1	100.00%	—	—
Chuncheon	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-03-29	Chuncheon	2 - 0 FT	Changwon City
2025-09-27	Chuncheon	2 - 4 FT	Changwon City
2025-05-31	Changwon City	2 - 1 FT	Chuncheon
2024-10-19	Changwon City	1 - 1 FT	Chuncheon
2024-05-25	Chuncheon	2 - 3 FT	Changwon City
2023-07-23	Chuncheon	2 - 1 FT	Changwon City

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	2.05	Betano
Draw	3.34	Pinnacle
Away win	3.86	Pinnacle
Over 2.5	2.05	Bet365
Under 2.5	1.77	Unibet
BTTS Yes	1.85	Betfair
BTTS No	1.95	Unibet

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
80'	Changwon City	Kim Woo-Hong	Goal	Normal Goal
41'	Chuncheon	Shin Sang-Hwi	Goal	Normal Goal

League Standings

Local standings cache · K3 League 2026

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Siheung Citizen	1	17	40	12	4	1	24	14	10	LDWWD
Pocheon	2	17	35	10	5	2	30	15	15	DWWDW
Daejeon Korail	3	17	31	9	4	4	27	12	15	LWWDL
Busan Transportation	4	17	30	8	6	3	26	13	13	WLDDW
Changwon City	5	17	25	6	7	4	18	16	2	DDDWW
Dangjin Citizen	6	17	22	6	4	7	27	26	1	DWDLW
Yeoju Sejong	7	17	21	5	6	6	20	22	-2	LDWLW
Gyeongju HNP	8	17	19	4	7	6	23	24	-1	WLDDD
Ulsan Citizen	9	17	19	5	4	8	17	19	-2	WWDLL
Gangneung City	10	17	19	5	4	8	15	26	-11	LLLWL
Chuncheon	11	17	17	4	5	8	30	29	1	DDLDD
Yangpyeong	12	17	16	3	7	7	20	29	-9	WDLDL
Mokpo City	13	17	15	2	9	6	14	25	-11	WLDDD
Jeonbuk Motors II K3 League (Relegation)	14	17	9	1	6	10	19	40	-21	LDLDL