Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 21:00 •
Arena Independência
Expected Goals
1.16 (league 1.13)
1.70 (league 0.82)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 25.8% | 24.0% | 49.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.3%
0 - 1
9.8%
1 - 2
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Novorizontino | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| America Mineiro | 0 | 5.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 6.7% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 3.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | America Mineiro | Novorizontino |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 11% | 22% |
| Attack | 33% | 22% |
| Defense | 33% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0.7 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
57%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | America Mineiro | Novorizontino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 100% | 67% |
| Loses | 100% | 50% | 67% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
Form: America Mineiro: LLD • Novorizontino: LDD
League goals
| Metric | America Mineiro | Novorizontino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | America Mineiro | Novorizontino | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 67% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 67% | 0% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 33% | 0% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | America Mineiro | Novorizontino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | America Mineiro | Novorizontino |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | America Mineiro | Novorizontino |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-1 | 1-3 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | America Mineiro | Novorizontino |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 46.6% | 53.4% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Novorizontino
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.28 @ 188Bet
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away3.48 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.96 @ 188Bet
No1.88 @ Betano
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
America Mineiro
vs
Novorizontino
Expected goals
1.16
America Mineiro xG
League Avg: 1.13
Total
2.85
1.70
Novorizontino xG
League Avg: 0.82
1x2 probabilities
Home
25.8%
Draw
24.0%
Away
49.3%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
11.3%
Tip
0 - 1
9.8%
Tip
1 - 2
9.6%
More chances
1.5+
57%
Chance
2.5+
40%
Chance
3.5+
29%
Chance
BTTS
61%
Chance
🟨 Cards
0 - 2
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): America Mineiro = 1.16 (league 1.13), Novorizontino = 1.70 (league 0.82)
| Novorizontino | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| America Mineiro | 0 | 5.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 6.7% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 3.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.8% · Draw 24.0% · Away win 49.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1