Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 21:00 •
Estádio Primeiro de Maio
Expected Goals
3.55 (league 1.13)
1.70 (league 0.82)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 57.4% | 13.1% | 13.8% |
best score tips
3 - 1
6.7%
4 - 1
5.9%
3 - 2
5.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Fortaleza EC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| São Bernardo | 0 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | São Bernardo | Fortaleza EC |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 44% | 44% |
| Attack | 44% | 22% |
| Defense | 56% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1.3 | 2 | 0.7 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1.3 | 5 | 1.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | São Bernardo | Fortaleza EC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Loses | 100% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
Form: São Bernardo: DLW • Fortaleza EC: LDW
League goals
| Metric | São Bernardo | Fortaleza EC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 4.0 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | São Bernardo | Fortaleza EC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 33% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | São Bernardo | Fortaleza EC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | São Bernardo | Fortaleza EC |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | São Bernardo | Fortaleza EC |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-2 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | — | — | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | São Bernardo | Fortaleza EC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 57.7% | 42.3% |
Advice: Winner : São Bernardo
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.20 @ Unibet
Draw3.16 @ Pinnacle
Away2.58 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.38 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.62 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.98 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ Bet365
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
São Bernardo
vs
Fortaleza EC
Expected goals
3.55
São Bernardo xG
League Avg: 1.13
Total
5.25
1.70
Fortaleza EC xG
League Avg: 0.82
1x2 probabilities
Home
57.4%
Draw
13.1%
Away
13.8%
Best score tips
Tip
3 - 1
6.7%
Tip
4 - 1
5.9%
Tip
3 - 2
5.6%
More chances
1.5+
86%
Chance
2.5+
60%
Chance
3.5+
43%
Chance
BTTS
72%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): São Bernardo = 3.55 (league 1.13), Fortaleza EC = 1.70 (league 0.82)
| Fortaleza EC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| São Bernardo | 0 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.4% · Draw 13.1% · Away win 13.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1