Serie B — Brazil
Sun, May 10 2026 • 19:00 • Aflitos
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.46 (league 1.11) 1.12 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.1% 32.6% 52.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
23.1%
0 - 0
20.6%
0 - 2
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
America Mineiro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nautico Recife 0 20.6% 23.1% 13.0% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3%
1 9.4% 10.6% 5.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 2.2% 2.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNautico RecifeAmerica Mineiro
Played55
Form47%13%
Attack38%25%
Defense38%13%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3-4
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nautico Recife America Mineiro
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%50%43%0%0%0%
Draws0%25%14%25%33%29%
Loses67%25%43%75%67%71%
Nautico RecifeLWWLLWD
America MineiroLLDLDLL

League goals

Metric Nautico Recife America Mineiro
HATHAT
GF total145224
GF avg0.31.00.70.50.70.6
GA total4377512
GA avg1.30.81.01.81.71.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNautico RecifeAmerica Mineiro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%71%57%86%
1.514%14%0%57%
2.50%14%0%29%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNautico RecifeAmerica Mineiro
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score213213

Penalties

MetricNautico RecifeAmerica Mineiro
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricNautico RecifeAmerica Mineiro
Wins20
Draws01
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-2——
Biggest losses0-31-00-33-1
Goals For1211
Goals Against3133

Model comparison

MetricNautico RecifeAmerica Mineiro
Form78%22%
Att60%40%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h15%85%
Goals17%83%
Total43.8%56.2%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ Betano
Draw3.40 @ Betfair
Away4.10 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.14 @ SBO
Under 2.51.76 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ 10Bet
No1.88 @ Betano
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League standings

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