Vila Nova 1-0 Botafogo SP: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Vila Nova 1-0 Botafogo SP: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Serie B 🌍 Brazil

Mon, Jun 8 2026 · 23:00

Vila Nova

1 - 0

Botafogo SP

🏆 Serie B

🌍 Brazil

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.20

League avg: 1.50

Both

1.97

League avg: 2.50

Away

0.77

League avg: 1.00

1X2 Probability

Home

45%

ELO-based: 51%

Draw

31%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

24%

ELO-based: 25%

Goal Probability

2.5+

41%

3.5+

23%

BTTS

48%

Best Score Tips

1 - 017%

0 - 014%

1 - 113%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Vila Nova vs Botafogo SP

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Vila Nova vs Botafogo SP.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Botafogo SP
		0	1	2	3	4
Vila Nova	0	14.0%	10.8%	4.2%	1.1%	0.2%
	1	16.7%	12.9%	5.0%	1.3%	0.2%
	2	10.0%	7.7%	3.0%	0.8%	0.1%
	3	4.0%	3.1%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%
	4	1.2%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

ELO Overview

Home

1581+27

League

1540±0

Away

1456-30

ELO Verdict

Home edge, High confidence, low upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Vila Nova	1581	1595	1547	1508	1630	+27
Botafogo SP	1456	1444	1464	1371	1511	-30

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Vila Nova	1	11	22	6	4	1	17	11	DLWWW
Botafogo SP	16	11	10	2	4	5	11	11	DLLLD

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Vila Nova	5	67%	55%	73%	1.2	0.6
Botafogo SP	5	13%	18%	55%	0.4	1.0

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Vila Nova	1.8	1.3	1.5	1.0	1.0	1.0
Botafogo SP	1.6	0.5	1.0	1.2	0.8	1.0

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Vila Nova	1.5	1.8	1.0	1.0
Botafogo SP	1.0	0.5	1.0	0.8

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	5.88%	18.18%	9.09%	9.09%
16-30	5.88%		18.18%	9.09%
31-45	17.65%	45.45%	36.36%	9.09%
46-60	17.65%	27.27%		27.27%
61-75	41.18%			27.27%
76-90	11.76%	9.09%	36.36%	18.18%

Team Comparison

83%

Form

17%

75%

Attack

25%

63%

Defense

38%

72%

Poisson

28%

H2H

55%

Goals

45%

66%

Total

34%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Vila Nova	2-0	1-2		1-0	2 / 3	2 / 3
Botafogo SP	4-0	1-2	1-2	1-0	4 / 2	2 / 1

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Vila Nova	3	1	2	1	0	1
Botafogo SP	2	1	1	4	0	4

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Vila Nova	2	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Botafogo SP	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2025-08-25	Botafogo SP	2 - 0 FT	Vila Nova
2025-04-20	Vila Nova	2 - 0 FT	Botafogo SP
2024-09-28	Vila Nova	1 - 1 FT	Botafogo SP
2024-06-16	Botafogo SP	1 - 0 FT	Vila Nova
2023-10-12	Vila Nova	3 - 1 FT	Botafogo SP
2023-06-24	Botafogo SP	0 - 3 FT	Vila Nova

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	2.04	Dafabet
Draw	3.20	Betfair
Away win	4.32	Pinnacle
Over 2.5	2.60	Pinnacle
Under 2.5	1.57	10Bet
BTTS Yes	2.20	Bet365
BTTS No	1.73	Betfair

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Stats

Stat	Vila Nova	Botafogo SP
expected_goals	0.38	0.20
Ball Possession	64%	36%
Total Shots	11	3
Shots on Goal	3	0
Shots off Goal	4	3
Blocked Shots	4	0
Shots insidebox	3	2
Shots outsidebox	8	1
Corner Kicks	6	4
Offsides	0	1
Fouls	5	9
Yellow Cards	0	1
Red Cards	—	—
Goalkeeper Saves	0	3
Total passes	181	104
Passes accurate	146	68
Passes %	81%	65%
goals_prevented	0.76	0.76

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
32'	Botafogo SP	Patrick Brey	Card	Yellow Card
21'	Vila Nova	Andre Luis	Goal	Assist: Janderson

League Standings

Local standings cache · Serie B 2026

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Vila Nova Promotion	1	12	25	7	4	1	18	11	7	WWWWL
São Bernardo Promotion	2	12	24	7	3	2	20	10	10	WDWDW
Sport Recife Promotion Play-offs	3	12	23	6	5	1	16	8	8	DWWLW
Fortaleza EC Promotion Play-offs	4	12	21	6	3	3	15	11	4	WLWLD
Novorizontino Promotion Play-offs	5	12	20	5	5	2	18	11	7	WDWDW
Criciuma Promotion Play-offs	6	12	20	5	5	2	14	10	4	WWDDD
Nautico Recife	7	12	19	6	1	5	16	12	4	LLWWW
Operario-PR	8	12	19	5	4	3	14	15	-1	WWDLL
Athletic Club	9	12	18	4	6	2	14	12	2	DWWDD
Goias	10	12	17	5	2	5	12	17	-5	LDWWW
Atletico Goianiense	11	13	17	4	5	4	15	15	0	DWDLD
Juventude	12	12	16	4	4	4	10	8	2	LWLDD
Ceara	13	12	16	4	4	4	14	14	0	WLLWL
Cuiaba	14	12	16	3	7	2	8	6	2	WWLDD
CRB	15	13	15	4	3	6	22	23	-1	DLLWW
Botafogo SP	16	12	10	2	4	6	11	12	-1	LDLLL
Avai Relegation	17	12	10	2	4	6	12	17	-5	LLLLD
Londrina Relegation	18	12	8	2	2	8	12	20	-8	LLLWL
Ponte Preta Relegation	19	12	8	2	2	8	10	22	-12	LDLLL
America Mineiro Relegation	20	12	3	0	3	9	7	24	-17	LLLDL