Sport Recife 3-3 Botafogo SP: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Sport Recife 3-3 Botafogo SP: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Serie B 🌍 Brazil

Fri, Jul 10 2026 · 23:00

Sport Recife

3 - 3

Botafogo SP

🏆 Serie B

🌍 Brazil

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.05

League avg: 1.10

Both

1.77

League avg: 2.20

Away

0.71

League avg: 1.10

1X2 Probability

Home

40%

ELO-based: 44%

Draw

35%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

25%

ELO-based: 32%

Goal Probability

2.5+

38%

3.5+

20%

BTTS

45%

Best Score Tips

1 - 018%

0 - 017%

1 - 113%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Sport Recife vs Botafogo SP

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Sport Recife vs Botafogo SP.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Botafogo SP
		0	1	2	3	4
Sport Recife	0	17.1%	12.2%	4.3%	1.0%	0.2%
	1	18.0%	12.8%	4.6%	1.1%	0.2%
	2	9.5%	6.8%	2.4%	0.6%	0.1%
	3	3.3%	2.4%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%
	4	0.9%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

ELO Overview

Home

1538-19

League

1540±0

Away

1485+24

ELO Verdict

Home edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Sport Recife	1538	1541	1495	1539	1506	-19
Botafogo SP	1485	1490	1473	1391	1530	+24

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Sport Recife	8	16	25	6	7	3	18	12	DDDLL
Botafogo SP	14	16	19	5	4	7	17	15	LWWLW

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Sport Recife	5	20%	27%	55%	0.6	1.0
Botafogo SP	5	60%	55%	64%	1.2	0.8

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Sport Recife	1.4	0.9	1.1	0.9	0.6	0.8
Botafogo SP	1.6	0.5	1.1	1.1	0.8	0.9

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Sport Recife	1.1	1.4	0.8	0.9
Botafogo SP	1.1	0.5	0.9	0.8

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15		11.76%		6.67%
16-30	11.11%	5.88%	41.67%	20.00%
31-45	16.67%	29.41%	8.33%	13.33%
46-60	22.22%	23.53%	16.67%	26.67%
61-75	16.67%	5.88%	8.33%	20.00%
76-90	33.33%	23.53%	25.00%	13.33%

Team Comparison

25%

Form

75%

33%

Attack

67%

44%

Defense

56%

66%

Poisson

34%

85%

H2H

15%

77%

Goals

23%

55%

Total

45%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Sport Recife	2-0	1-3	1-2	2-1	2 / 3	2 / 2
Botafogo SP	4-0	1-2	1-2	1-0	4 / 2	2 / 1

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Sport Recife	7	3	4	4	0	4
Botafogo SP	3	1	2	6	1	5

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Sport Recife	5	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Botafogo SP	1	50.00%	1	50.00%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2024-10-21	Sport Recife	3 - 1 FT	Botafogo SP
2024-06-29	Botafogo SP	1 - 1 FT	Sport Recife
2023-09-03	Botafogo SP	1 - 1 FT	Sport Recife
2023-05-20	Sport Recife	3 - 0 FT	Botafogo SP
2019-11-14	Botafogo SP	0 - 2 FT	Sport Recife
2019-08-17	Sport Recife	3 - 0 FT	Botafogo SP

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	1.81	SBO
Draw	3.72	Pinnacle
Away win	5.80	Betano
Over 2.5	2.20	10Bet
Under 2.5	1.72	Unibet
BTTS Yes	2.10	Bet365
BTTS No	1.79	Unibet

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
45+4'	Botafogo SP	Matheus Sales	Card	Yellow Card
42'	Botafogo SP	Rafael Gava	Goal	Penalty
38'	Sport Recife	Ze Lucas	Card	Yellow Card
30'	Botafogo SP	Claudio Tencati	Card	Yellow Card
27'	Botafogo SP	Rafael Gava	Card	Yellow Card
25'	Botafogo SP	Ze Hugo	Goal	Assist: Everton Morelli

League Standings

Local standings cache · Serie B 2026

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Criciuma Promotion	1	17	33	9	6	2	20	12	8	WWWWD
Vila Nova Promotion	2	16	31	9	4	3	25	18	7	WLWLW
Novorizontino Promotion Play-offs	3	16	30	8	6	2	27	14	13	WWWDW
Fortaleza EC Promotion Play-offs	4	16	28	8	4	4	20	16	4	WWDLW
Operario-PR Promotion Play-offs	5	16	28	8	4	4	20	17	3	WWWLW
Juventude Promotion Play-offs	6	16	26	7	5	4	16	8	8	DWWWL
São Bernardo	7	16	25	7	4	5	21	14	7	LLLDW
Sport Recife	8	16	25	6	7	3	18	12	6	LLDDD
Goias	9	16	24	7	3	6	16	21	-5	WWLDL
Cuiaba	10	16	23	5	8	3	12	9	3	WDLWW
Athletic Club	11	16	22	5	7	4	16	16	0	LWLDD
Nautico Recife	12	16	21	6	3	7	21	19	2	DLLDL
Atletico Goianiense	13	16	21	5	6	5	18	19	-1	LWDDW
Botafogo SP	14	16	19	5	4	7	17	15	2	WLWWL
CRB	15	16	19	5	4	7	24	29	-5	LWDDL
Londrina	16	16	18	5	3	8	24	24	0	WDWWL
Ceara Relegation	17	16	17	4	5	7	15	20	-5	LLLDW
Avai Relegation	18	16	13	3	4	9	16	24	-8	LLWLL
Ponte Preta Relegation	19	17	8	2	2	13	11	33	-22	LLLLL
America Mineiro Relegation	20	16	6	1	3	12	10	27	-17	LLLWL