Botafogo SP 2-1 America Mineiro: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Botafogo SP 2-1 America Mineiro: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Serie B 🌍 Brazil

Sat, Aug 8 2026 · 21:30

Botafogo SP

2 - 1

America Mineiro

🏆 Serie B

🌍 Brazil

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.75

League avg: 1.20

Both

2.76

League avg: 1.90

Away

1.01

League avg: 0.70

1X2 Probability

Home

56%

ELO-based: 47%

Draw

24%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

20%

ELO-based: 29%

Goal Probability

2.5+

50%

3.5+

29%

BTTS

53%

Best Score Tips

1 - 111%

1 - 011%

2 - 110%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Botafogo SP vs America Mineiro

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Botafogo SP vs America Mineiro.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		America Mineiro
		0	1	2	3	4
Botafogo SP	0	6.3%	6.4%	3.3%	1.1%	0.3%
	1	11.1%	11.2%	5.7%	1.9%	0.5%
	2	9.7%	9.8%	5.0%	1.7%	0.4%
	3	5.6%	5.7%	2.9%	1.0%	0.2%
	4	2.5%	2.5%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%

ELO Overview

Home

1520+31

League

1540±0

Away

1439+3

ELO Verdict

Home edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Botafogo SP	1520	1548	1503	1430	1538	+31
America Mineiro	1439	1436	1439	1410	1500	+3

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Botafogo SP	13	20	24	6	6	8	24	21	WDDWL
America Mineiro	19	20	11	2	5	13	14	31	LDDLW

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Botafogo SP	5	53%	100%	30%	2.0	1.4
America Mineiro	5	33%	40%	50%	0.8	1.0

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Botafogo SP	1.9	0.6	1.2	1.2	0.9	1.1
America Mineiro	0.7	0.7	0.7	1.4	1.7	1.6

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Botafogo SP	1.2	1.9	1.1	1.2
America Mineiro	0.7	0.7	1.6	1.7

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	8.33%	13.33%	4.76%	6.67%
16-30	12.50%	20.00%	14.29%	3.33%
31-45	29.17%	33.33%	9.52%	23.33%
46-60	25.00%		33.33%	10.00%
61-75	4.17%	13.33%	23.81%	23.33%
76-90	20.83%	20.00%	14.29%	33.33%

Team Comparison

62%

Form

38%

71%

Attack

29%

42%

Defense

58%

75%

Poisson

25%

H2H

46%

Goals

54%

58%

Total

42%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Botafogo SP	4-0	1-2	1-2	1-0	4 / 3	2 / 3
America Mineiro	1-0	0-3	0-3	4-0	1 / 3	3 / 4

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Botafogo SP	4	1	3	8	1	7
America Mineiro	3	2	1	8	3	5

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Botafogo SP	2	66.67%	1	33.33%	—	—
America Mineiro	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-04-01	America Mineiro	1 - 2 FT	Botafogo SP
2025-08-02	Botafogo SP	2 - 1 FT	America Mineiro
2025-04-05	America Mineiro	1 - 0 FT	Botafogo SP
2024-08-10	America Mineiro	3 - 1 FT	Botafogo SP
2024-04-19	Botafogo SP	1 - 1 FT	America Mineiro
2021-01-16	America Mineiro	1 - 1 FT	Botafogo SP

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	1.93	Betano
Draw	3.30	10Bet
Away win	5.10	Betano
Over 2.5	2.50	Pinnacle
Under 2.5	1.58	Unibet
BTTS Yes	2.20	Bet365
BTTS No	1.73	Betfair

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Stats

Stat	Botafogo SP	America Mineiro
expected_goals	1.16	0.69
Ball Possession	45%	55%
Total Shots	14	8
Shots on Goal	4	2
Shots off Goal	4	3
Blocked Shots	6	3
Shots insidebox	11	5
Shots outsidebox	3	3
Corner Kicks	4	9
Offsides	1	1
Fouls	16	21
Yellow Cards	1	2
Red Cards	—	—
Goalkeeper Saves	1	3
Total passes	301	367
Passes accurate	227	286
Passes %	75%	78%
goals_prevented	-1.21	-1.21

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90'	Botafogo SP	Ze Hugo	subst	Out: Pedro Henrique
90'	Botafogo SP	Matheus Sales	subst	Out: Yuri Felipe
85'	America Mineiro	Eduardo Person	Card	Yellow Card
80'	America Mineiro	Filipe Dahora	subst	Out: Willian Bigode
80'	America Mineiro	Dalbert	subst	Out: T. Ostchega
79'	America Mineiro	R. Pineiro	Card	Yellow Card
78'	Botafogo SP	Jefferson Nem	Card	Yellow Card
76'	Botafogo SP	Rafael Gava	subst	Out: Marco Antonio
73'	America Mineiro	F. Elizari	subst	Out: Eduardo Person
70'	Botafogo SP	Filipe Dahora	Goal	Own Goal
67'	America Mineiro	Gabriel Barros	subst	Out: Gonzalo Mastriani
66'	America Mineiro	Guilherme Parede	subst	Out: R. Pineiro
61'	Botafogo SP	Wesley Santos	subst	Out: Jefferson Nem
61'	Botafogo SP	Hygor	subst	Out: Arthur Caike
61'	Botafogo SP	Ericson	subst	Out: Hebert
61'	Botafogo SP	Hebert	Goal	Assist: Rafael Gava
55'	America Mineiro	F. Elizari	Goal	Normal Goal
46'	America Mineiro	Felipe Amaral	subst	Out: Jorge Jimenez

League Standings

Local standings cache · Serie B 2026

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Criciuma Promotion	1	22	43	12	7	3	24	14	10	WLDWW
Juventude Promotion	2	22	39	11	6	5	23	12	11	DWWLW
Vila Nova Promotion Play-offs	3	22	37	11	4	7	29	25	4	WLLWL
Fortaleza EC Promotion Play-offs	4	22	36	10	6	6	24	20	4	DDWLW
Operario-PR Promotion Play-offs	5	21	35	10	5	6	29	28	1	LLWDW
Sport Recife Promotion Play-offs	6	22	35	8	11	3	28	20	8	WWDDD
Novorizontino	7	21	33	9	6	6	32	20	12	LWLLL
CRB	8	21	32	9	5	7	32	32	0	WWWWD
Goias	9	22	32	9	5	8	22	27	-5	LWLDW
Atletico Goianiense	10	22	32	8	8	6	24	23	1	LDWWD
Athletic Club	11	21	31	7	10	4	21	18	3	WDWDD
São Bernardo	12	22	30	8	6	8	31	25	6	LWLLD
Botafogo SP	13	22	30	8	6	8	27	22	5	WWLWD
Cuiaba	14	22	29	6	11	5	19	17	2	WDDLL
Nautico Recife	15	22	27	7	6	9	26	26	0	DDDWL
Ceara	16	22	25	6	7	9	23	28	-5	LWWLD
Londrina Relegation	17	22	20	5	5	12	28	34	-6	LLLLD
Avai Relegation	18	21	20	5	5	11	21	28	-7	LLWDW
America Mineiro Relegation	19	21	11	2	5	14	15	33	-18	LWLDD
Ponte Preta Relegation	20	22	10	2	4	16	16	42	-26	DLDLL