Cuiaba 1-1 Fortaleza EC: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Cuiaba 1-1 Fortaleza EC: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Serie B 🌍 Brazil

Sun, Aug 9 2026 · 21:00

Cuiaba

1 - 1

Fortaleza EC

🏆 Serie B

🌍 Brazil

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

0.93

League avg: 0.80

Both

1.55

League avg: 2.00

Away

0.62

League avg: 1.20

1X2 Probability

Home

38%

ELO-based: 30%

Draw

38%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

24%

ELO-based: 46%

Goal Probability

2.5+

35%

3.5+

18%

BTTS

40%

Best Score Tips

0 - 021%

1 - 020%

0 - 113%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Cuiaba vs Fortaleza EC

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Cuiaba vs Fortaleza EC.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Fortaleza EC
		0	1	2	3	4
Cuiaba	0	21.2%	13.2%	4.1%	0.9%	0.1%
	1	19.7%	12.3%	3.8%	0.8%	0.1%
	2	9.1%	5.7%	1.8%	0.4%	0.1%
	3	2.8%	1.8%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	0.7%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

ELO Overview

Home

1509-15

League

1540±0

Away

1587-3

ELO Verdict

Away edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Cuiaba	1509	1508	1518	1446	1589	-15
Fortaleza EC	1587	1589	1499	1491	1627	-3

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Cuiaba	16	20	25	5	10	5	15	15	WDLLD
Fortaleza EC	4	20	34	10	4	6	23	19	WLWLW

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Cuiaba	5	33%	33%	50%	0.8	1.2
Fortaleza EC	5	60%	42%	75%	1.0	0.6

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Cuiaba	0.8	0.7	0.8	0.7	0.8	0.8
Fortaleza EC	1.8	0.5	1.2	0.8	1.1	1.0

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Cuiaba	0.8	0.8	0.8	0.7
Fortaleza EC	1.2	0.5	1.0	1.1

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	7.14%	10.53%	12.50%	13.04%
16-30	7.14%	15.79%	6.25%	13.04%
31-45	21.43%	5.26%	31.25%	34.78%
46-60		21.05%	6.25%	21.74%
61-75	35.71%	5.26%	25.00%	8.70%
76-90	28.57%	42.11%	18.75%	8.70%

Team Comparison

36%

Form

64%

44%

Attack

56%

33%

Defense

67%

66%

Poisson

34%

71%

H2H

29%

Goals

55%

Total

45%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Cuiaba	2-0	0-2	0-2	2-0	2 / 2	2 / 2
Fortaleza EC	4-1	0-1	0-3	4-0	4 / 1	3 / 4

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Cuiaba	9	5	4	10	4	6
Fortaleza EC	9	5	4	7	2	5

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Cuiaba	0	0%	2	100.00%	—	—
Fortaleza EC	3	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-03-31	Fortaleza EC	0 - 0 FT	Cuiaba
2024-09-29	Fortaleza EC	1 - 0 FT	Cuiaba
2024-06-16	Cuiaba	5 - 0 FT	Fortaleza EC
2023-11-12	Cuiaba	2 - 1 FT	Fortaleza EC
2023-07-16	Fortaleza EC	0 - 1 FT	Cuiaba
2022-07-31	Cuiaba	0 - 1 FT	Fortaleza EC

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	2.80	Homepage market
Draw	2.80	Homepage market
Away win	2.88	Homepage market
2.5 goals market	1.40	Homepage market
BTTS market	1.57	Homepage market

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Stats

Stat	Cuiaba	Fortaleza EC
expected_goals	1.42	0.97
Ball Possession	54%	46%
Total Shots	13	5
Shots on Goal	2	1
Shots off Goal	10	1
Blocked Shots	1	3
Shots insidebox	8	2
Shots outsidebox	5	3
Corner Kicks	2	3
Offsides	0	2
Fouls	11	9
Yellow Cards	2	2
Red Cards	0	1
Goalkeeper Saves	1	1
Total passes	426	376
Passes accurate	368	318
Passes %	86%	85%
goals_prevented	-0.39	-0.39

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
89'	Cuiaba	Igor Inocencio	subst	Out: Rodrigo Rodrigues
87'	Fortaleza EC	Rodriguinho	subst	Out: Ryan
84'	Cuiaba	Jean Dias	subst	Out: Marcos Junior
84'	Cuiaba	Calebe Costa	subst	Out: Luiz Otavio
70'	Cuiaba	Pepe	subst	Out: Vinicius Peixoto
65'	Fortaleza EC	G. Fuentes	subst	Out: Mauricio Junior
65'	Fortaleza EC	Lucas Sasha	subst	Out: T. Cardona
63'	Fortaleza EC	J. B. Miritello	Card	Red Card
54'	Fortaleza EC	Mailton	Goal	Penalty
46'	Fortaleza EC	Luiz Fernando	subst	Out: Paulo Baya
46'	Fortaleza EC	Vitinho	subst	Out: Rodrigo
46'	Cuiaba	Eliel	subst	Out: Kauan Cristtyan
44'	Cuiaba	Pepe	Card	Yellow Card
42'	Fortaleza EC	Luiz Fernando	Card	Yellow Card
39'	Cuiaba	H. Pedro	Card	Yellow Card
17'	Fortaleza EC	Pierre	Card	Yellow Card
9'	Cuiaba	Jean Dias	Goal	Assist: Eliel

League Standings

Local standings cache · Serie B 2026

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Criciuma Promotion	1	20	40	11	7	2	23	12	11	DWWWW
Juventude Promotion	2	20	35	10	5	5	22	12	10	WLWWD
Operario-PR Promotion Play-offs	3	21	35	10	5	6	29	28	1	LLWDW
Fortaleza EC Promotion Play-offs	4	20	34	10	4	6	23	19	4	WLWLW
Vila Nova Promotion Play-offs	5	21	34	10	4	7	27	25	2	LLWLL
Novorizontino Promotion Play-offs	6	20	33	9	6	5	32	19	13	WLLLW
Sport Recife	7	21	32	7	11	3	26	19	7	WDDDD
Atletico Goianiense	8	20	31	8	7	5	23	20	3	WWDWL
São Bernardo	9	21	30	8	6	7	31	24	7	WLLDD
CRB	10	20	29	8	5	7	31	32	-1	WWWDL
Goias	11	20	29	8	5	7	21	26	-5	LDWDW
Athletic Club	12	20	28	6	10	4	19	18	1	DWDDL
Botafogo SP	13	21	27	7	6	8	26	22	4	WLWDD
Nautico Recife	14	20	25	7	4	9	24	24	0	DWLLD
Ceara	15	21	25	6	7	8	22	25	-3	WWLDD
Cuiaba	16	20	25	5	10	5	15	15	0	DLLDW
Londrina Relegation	17	20	20	5	5	10	27	31	-4	LLDDW
Avai Relegation	18	20	20	5	5	10	21	27	-6	LWDWL
America Mineiro Relegation	19	21	11	2	5	14	15	33	-18	LWLDD
Ponte Preta Relegation	20	21	9	2	3	16	15	41	-26	LDLLL