Vila Nova 0-1 Sport Recife: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Vila Nova 0-1 Sport Recife: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Serie B 🌍 Brazil

Sat, Aug 8 2026 · 19:00

Vila Nova

0 - 1

Sport Recife

🏆 Serie B

🌍 Brazil

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.23

League avg: 1.40

Both

2.24

League avg: 2.70

Away

1.01

League avg: 1.30

1X2 Probability

Home

36%

ELO-based: 39%

Draw

30%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

34%

ELO-based: 37%

Goal Probability

2.5+

45%

3.5+

26%

BTTS

50%

Best Score Tips

1 - 113%

1 - 013%

0 - 111%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Vila Nova vs Sport Recife

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Vila Nova vs Sport Recife.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Sport Recife
		0	1	2	3	4
Vila Nova	0	10.6%	10.8%	5.5%	1.8%	0.5%
	1	13.0%	13.2%	6.7%	2.3%	0.6%
	2	8.0%	8.1%	4.1%	1.4%	0.4%
	3	3.3%	3.3%	1.7%	0.6%	0.1%
	4	1.0%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%

ELO Overview

Home

1555-34

League

1540±0

Away

1549+11

ELO Verdict

Draw edge, Low confidence, high upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Vila Nova	1555	1538	1556	1502	1599	-34
Sport Recife	1549	1548	1504	1551	1500	+11

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Vila Nova	5	20	34	10	4	6	27	24	WLLWL
Sport Recife	7	20	29	6	11	3	25	19	LDDDD

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Vila Nova	5	40%	40%	30%	0.8	1.4
Sport Recife	5	27%	70%	20%	1.4	1.6

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Vila Nova	2.0	0.8	1.4	1.1	1.3	1.2
Sport Recife	1.5	0.9	1.3	1.2	0.7	1.0

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Vila Nova	1.4	2.0	1.2	1.1
Sport Recife	1.3	0.9	1.0	0.7

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	14.81%		16.67%	5.26%
16-30	14.81%	16.00%	12.50%	31.58%
31-45	22.22%	12.00%	25.00%	10.53%
46-60	11.11%	28.00%	4.17%	10.53%
61-75	25.93%	16.00%	4.17%	10.53%
76-90	11.11%	28.00%	37.50%	31.58%

Team Comparison

Form

36%

Attack

64%

53%

Defense

47%

52%

Poisson

48%

29%

H2H

71%

38%

Goals

63%

45%

Total

56%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Vila Nova	2-0	1-2		2-0	4 / 3	3 / 3
Sport Recife	2-0	1-3	1-2	2-1	3 / 3	3 / 2

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Vila Nova	4	2	2	5	0	5
Sport Recife	7	3	4	4	0	4

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Vila Nova	2	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Sport Recife	6	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-04-01	Sport Recife	1 - 1 FT	Vila Nova
2024-08-17	Vila Nova	2 - 0 FT	Sport Recife
2024-04-26	Sport Recife	2 - 0 FT	Vila Nova
2023-08-03	Vila Nova	0 - 1 FT	Sport Recife
2023-06-18	Sport Recife	1 - 0 FT	Vila Nova
2022-11-06	Vila Nova	0 - 0 FT	Sport Recife

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	2.25	Bet365
Draw	3.25	Betfair
Away win	3.66	Pinnacle
Over 2.5	2.22	Pinnacle
Under 2.5	1.71	Unibet
BTTS Yes	1.91	William Hill
BTTS No	1.90	Betfair

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Stats

Stat	Vila Nova	Sport Recife
expected_goals	0.56	0.26
Ball Possession	62%	38%
Total Shots	15	5
Shots on Goal	1	3
Shots off Goal	7	2
Blocked Shots	7	0
Shots insidebox	6	2
Shots outsidebox	9	3
Corner Kicks	14	2
Offsides	0	2
Fouls	11	19
Yellow Cards	1	5
Red Cards	—	—
Goalkeeper Saves	2	1
Total passes	432	282
Passes accurate	346	203
Passes %	80%	72%
goals_prevented	0.07	0.07

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90+6'	Sport Recife	Chrystian Barletta	Card	Yellow Card
90+4'	Sport Recife	Ze Gabriel	subst	Out: Pedro Martins
90+3'	Sport Recife	Pedro Perotti	subst	Out: Benevenuto
81'	Sport Recife	Marlon Douglas	Card	Yellow Card
79'	Vila Nova	Janderson	subst	Out: Emerson Urso
79'	Vila Nova	Douglas Mendes	subst	Out: Tiago Pagnussat
73'	Sport Recife	Dudu	Card	Yellow Card
69'	Sport Recife	Diego Hernandez	subst	Out: Dudu
64'	Vila Nova	Everton Galdino	subst	Out: Dellatorre
62'	Vila Nova	Higor	Card	Yellow Card
60'	Sport Recife	Clayson	subst	Out: Marlon Douglas
46'	Vila Nova	Nathan Camargo	subst	Out: Hayner
46'	Vila Nova	Higor Meritao	subst	Out: Dudu
46'	Sport Recife	Augusto	subst	Out: Claudinho
45+2'	Sport Recife	Thiago Couto	Card	Yellow Card
42'	Sport Recife	Augusto	Card	Yellow Card
6'	Sport Recife	Chrystian Barletta	Goal	Normal Goal

League Standings

Local standings cache · Serie B 2026

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Criciuma Promotion	1	20	40	11	7	2	23	12	11	DWWWW
Juventude Promotion	2	20	35	10	5	5	22	12	10	WLWWD
Operario-PR Promotion Play-offs	3	21	35	10	5	6	29	28	1	LLWDW
Fortaleza EC Promotion Play-offs	4	20	34	10	4	6	23	19	4	WLWLW
Vila Nova Promotion Play-offs	5	21	34	10	4	7	27	25	2	LLWLL
Novorizontino Promotion Play-offs	6	20	33	9	6	5	32	19	13	WLLLW
Sport Recife	7	21	32	7	11	3	26	19	7	WDDDD
Atletico Goianiense	8	20	31	8	7	5	23	20	3	WWDWL
São Bernardo	9	21	30	8	6	7	31	24	7	WLLDD
CRB	10	20	29	8	5	7	31	32	-1	WWWDL
Goias	11	20	29	8	5	7	21	26	-5	LDWDW
Athletic Club	12	20	28	6	10	4	19	18	1	DWDDL
Botafogo SP	13	21	27	7	6	8	26	22	4	WLWDD
Nautico Recife	14	20	25	7	4	9	24	24	0	DWLLD
Ceara	15	21	25	6	7	8	22	25	-3	WWLDD
Cuiaba	16	20	25	5	10	5	15	15	0	DLLDW
Londrina Relegation	17	20	20	5	5	10	27	31	-4	LLDDW
Avai Relegation	18	20	20	5	5	10	21	27	-6	LWDWL
America Mineiro Relegation	19	21	11	2	5	14	15	33	-18	LWLDD
Ponte Preta Relegation	20	21	9	2	3	16	15	41	-26	LDLLL