Welsh Cup — Wales
Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 13:30 • Belle Vue
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 2.15) 1.64 (league 2.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.2% 24.6% 53.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.6%
1 - 1
11.7%
0 - 2
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Caernarfon Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rhyl 0 7.7% 12.6% 10.3% 5.6% 2.3% 0.8%
1 7.1% 11.7% 9.6% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7%
2 3.3% 5.4% 4.4% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.0% 1.7% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRhylCaernarfon Town
Played54
Form100%100%
Attack52%71%
Defense76%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.215 | 3.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

77%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rhyl Caernarfon Town
HATHAT
Played325224
Wins100%100%100%100%100%100%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Rhyl: WWWWW • Caernarfon Town: WWWW

League goals

Metric Rhyl Caernarfon Town
HATHAT
GF total65118715
GF avg2.02.52.24.03.53.8
GA total325123
GA avg1.01.01.00.51.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRhylCaernarfon Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%80%100%50%
1.580%20%100%25%
2.540%0%100%0%
3.50%0%75%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRhylCaernarfon Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricRhylCaernarfon Town
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricRhylCaernarfon Town
Wins54
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-34-00-3
Biggest losses————
Goals For3344
Goals Against2112

Model comparison

MetricRhylCaernarfon Town
Form56%44%
Att42%58%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h0%100%
Goals40%60%
Total42.0%58.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Caernarfon Town

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home9.90 @ 1xBet
Draw6.00 @ Betfair
Away1.35 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.37 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.30 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rhyl = 0.93 (league 2.15), Caernarfon Town = 1.64 (league 2.13)

Caernarfon Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rhyl 0 7.7% 12.6% 10.3% 5.6% 2.3% 0.8%
1 7.1% 11.7% 9.6% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7%
2 3.3% 5.4% 4.4% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.0% 1.7% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.2% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 53.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1