South Melbourne 2-3 Altona Magic: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

South Melbourne 2-3 Altona Magic: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Victoria NPL 🌍 Australia

Sun, Jun 7 2026 · 05:30

South Melbourne

2 - 3

Altona Magic

🏆 Victoria NPL

🌍 Australia

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.63

League avg: 1.30

Both

3.43

League avg: 2.40

Away

1.81

League avg: 1.10

1X2 Probability

Home

26%

ELO-based: 49%

Draw

26%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

48%

ELO-based: 27%

Goal Probability

2.5+

59%

3.5+

36%

BTTS

59%

Best Score Tips

1 - 110%

1 - 29%

2 - 18%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: South Melbourne vs Altona Magic

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for South Melbourne vs Altona Magic.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Altona Magic
		0	1	2	3	4
South Melbourne	0	3.2%	5.8%	5.3%	3.2%	1.4%
	1	5.2%	9.5%	8.6%	5.2%	2.3%
	2	4.3%	7.7%	7.0%	4.2%	1.9%
	3	2.3%	4.2%	3.8%	2.3%	1.0%
	4	0.9%	1.7%	1.5%	0.9%	0.4%

ELO Overview

Home

1569-61

League

1566±0

Away

1463+7

ELO Verdict

Home edge, High confidence, low upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
South Melbourne	1569	1536	1516	1719	1469	-61
Altona Magic	1463	1474	1487	1467	1451	+7

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
South Melbourne	7	15	22	7	1	7	20	26	LLLLD
Altona Magic	11	15	13	3	4	8	16	28	WLWLL

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
South Melbourne	5	7%	9%	32%	0.4	3.0
Altona Magic	5	40%	18%	55%	0.8	2.0

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
South Melbourne	1.0	1.6	1.3	2.4	1.1	1.7
Altona Magic	0.8	1.5	1.1	1.7	2.2	1.9

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
South Melbourne	1.3	1.0	1.7	2.4
Altona Magic	1.1	1.5	1.9	2.2

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	4.76%	6.25%	12.00%	25.00%
16-30	14.29%	18.75%	16.00%	21.43%
31-45	9.52%	25.00%	12.00%	3.57%
46-60	28.57%	25.00%	24.00%	10.71%
61-75	19.05%	6.25%	20.00%	7.14%
76-90	23.81%	12.50%	12.00%	21.43%

Team Comparison

14%

Form

86%

33%

Attack

67%

Defense

38%

Poisson

62%

93%

H2H

86%

Goals

14%

51%

Total

49%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
South Melbourne	4-2	0-4	0-4	4-0	4 / 4	4 / 4
Altona Magic	1-0	1-3	2-4	5-1	2 / 3	4 / 5

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
South Melbourne	5	1	4	5	3	2
Altona Magic	2	2	0	3	3	0

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
South Melbourne	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
Altona Magic	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-02-28	Altona Magic	1 - 2 FT	South Melbourne
2025-07-19	South Melbourne	2 - 0 FT	Altona Magic
2025-04-05	Altona Magic	0 - 0 FT	South Melbourne
2024-06-21	South Melbourne	4 - 0 FT	Altona Magic
2024-03-16	Altona Magic	1 - 4 FT	South Melbourne
2023-07-29	Altona Magic	1 - 4 FT	South Melbourne

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	1.60	Superbet
Draw	4.30	Unibet
Away win	5.28	1xBet
Over 2.5	1.55	Betano
Under 2.5	2.45	Unibet
BTTS Yes	1.62	William Hill
BTTS No	2.28	Unibet

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
68'	Altona Magic	J. Mabok	Goal	Normal Goal
66'	Altona Magic	O. McCloskey	Goal	Normal Goal
38'	Altona Magic	J. Diaz Lopez	Goal	Own Goal
22'	South Melbourne	J. Swibel	Goal	Normal Goal
10'	South Melbourne	J. Painter-Andrews	Goal	Normal Goal

League Standings

Local standings cache · Victoria NPL 2026

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Oakleigh Cannons Playoffs	1	16	34	10	4	2	36	16	20	DWWDW
Hume City Playoffs	2	16	33	10	3	3	33	19	14	WDWWW
Avondale Qualification Playoffs	3	16	31	10	1	5	39	19	20	WWWLW
Heidelberg United Qualification Playoffs	4	16	30	9	3	4	30	21	9	LWWDW
Melbourne City II Qualification Playoffs	5	15	23	6	5	4	29	17	12	LWWWW
Sunshine Georgies Qualification Playoffs	6	16	22	5	7	4	21	21	0	WDDWL
South Melbourne	7	16	22	7	1	8	22	29	-7	LDLLL
Preston Lions	8	15	20	8	2	5	22	13	9	WLLWW
Dandenong City	9	16	18	6	4	6	21	21	0	WWWDL
St. Albans Saints	10	16	18	5	3	8	18	30	-12	DLLDW
Altona Magic	11	16	16	4	4	8	19	30	-11	WLLWL
Bentleigh Greens Relegation	12	16	16	4	4	8	16	33	-17	LLDDL
Dandenong Thunder Relegation	13	16	12	3	3	10	19	27	-8	LLLDL
Green Gully Relegation	14	16	4	0	4	12	6	35	-29	LDLLL