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Melbourne City II 2-2 Heidelberg United: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow
FT
Sat, Jul 11 2026 Β· 05:00
FT
πŸ† Victoria NPL
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🏟️ TBA
Pre-Match Predictions
Expected Goals
Home
1.35
League avg: 1.90
Both
2.59
League avg: 3.50
Away
1.24
League avg: 1.60
1X2 Probability
Home
34%
ELO-based: 36%
Draw
31%
ELO-based: 24%
Away
35%
ELO-based: 40%
Goal Probability
2.5+
51%
3.5+
30%
BTTS
53%
Best Score Tips
1 - 113%
1 - 010%
0 - 19%
Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Melbourne City II vs Heidelberg United

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Melbourne City II vs Heidelberg United.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.
FT Score Probability Grid
Heidelberg United
01234
Melbourne City II 0 7.5% 9.3% 5.7% 2.4% 0.7%
1 10.2% 12.6% 7.8% 3.2% 1.0%
2 6.9% 8.5% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7%
3 3.1% 3.8% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
4 1.0% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
ELO Overview
Home
1616+5
League
1566Β±0
Away
1633-44
ELO Verdict
Away edge, Low confidence, high upset risk
ELOOverallFormH/AAttackDefenseLast 5 +-
Melbourne City II16161628152617731604+5
Heidelberg United16331612156517141640-44
League Snapshot
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAForm
Melbourne City II618298553520WLLWW
Heidelberg United519319463124WLLLD
Recent Team Form
TeamPlayedFormAttackDefenseGF avgGA avg
Melbourne City II 5 60% 67% 67% 1.6 0.8
Heidelberg United 5 27% 50% 25% 1.2 1.8
Goal Trends
TeamGF HGF AGF TotGA HGA AGA Tot
Melbourne City II 1.3 2.5 1.9 1.0 1.2 1.1
Heidelberg United 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.2 1.3 1.3
Goals Trends, home + away avg.
TeamsGFGF H/AGAGA H/A
Melbourne City II 1.9 1.3 1.1 1.0
Heidelberg United 1.6 1.6 1.3 1.3
Goal Minutes
MinHome ForAway ForHome AgainstAway Against
0-15 20.59% 3.45% 4.76% 3.85%
16-30 20.59% 17.24% 14.29% 7.69%
31-45 17.65% 13.79% 23.81% 15.38%
46-60 17.65% 27.59% 23.81% 15.38%
61-75 11.76% 10.34% 19.05% 26.92%
76-90 11.76% 27.59% 14.29% 23.08%
Team Comparison
69%
Form
31%
57%
Attack
43%
69%
Defense
31%
52%
Poisson
48%
5%
H2H
5%
5%
Goals
5%
58%
Total
42%
Biggest Results
TeamWin HWin ALoss HLoss AGF H/AGA H/A
Melbourne City II 5-0 0-7 0-3 3-1 5 / 7 3 / 3
Heidelberg United 4-0 0-3 1-2 4-1 4 / 3 2 / 4
Clean sheets & failed to score
TeamCSCS HCS AFTSFTS HFTS A
Melbourne City II 5 2 3 3 3 0
Heidelberg United 5 1 4 2 2 0
Penalties
TeamScoredScored %MissedMissed %WonCommitted
Melbourne City II 0 0% 0 0% β€” β€”
Heidelberg United 3 60.00% 2 40.00% β€” β€”
Recent H2H
DateHomeScoreAway
2026-03-27 Heidelberg United 1 - 1 FT Melbourne City II
Best Odds Snapshot
MarketBest oddBookmaker
Home win 3.75 BetVictor
Draw 4.30 Pinnacle
Away win 1.82 Dafabet
Over 2.5 1.48 Unibet
Under 2.5 2.70 Pinnacle
BTTS Yes 1.50 Bet365
BTTS No 2.60 BetVictor
Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.
Match Events
MinTeamPlayerTypeDetail
75' Melbourne City II Goal Normal Goal
55' Heidelberg United Goal Normal Goal
20' Melbourne City II Goal Normal Goal
18' Heidelberg United Goal Normal Goal
League Standings
Local standings cache Β· Victoria NPL 2026
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAGDForm
Oakleigh Cannons 1 19 41 12 5 2 41 18 23 DWWDW
Hume City 2 19 40 12 4 3 39 22 17 DWWWD
Preston Lions 3 18 35 11 2 5 28 15 13 WWWWL
Avondale 4 19 34 11 1 7 53 25 28 LLWWW
Heidelberg United 5 19 31 9 4 6 31 24 7 DLLLW
Melbourne City II 6 18 29 8 5 5 35 20 15 WWLLW
South Melbourne 7 19 28 9 1 9 29 32 -3 WLWLD
Dandenong City 8 19 26 7 5 7 26 25 1 DWLWW
Sunshine Georgies 9 19 26 6 8 5 25 26 -1 DLWWD
St. Albans Saints 10 19 22 6 4 9 21 34 -13 DLWDL
Altona Magic 11 19 19 5 4 10 21 35 -14 LWLWL
Bentleigh Greens 12 19 16 4 4 11 17 42 -25 LLLLL
Dandenong Thunder 13 19 12 3 3 13 20 42 -22 LLLLL
Green Gully 14 19 10 2 4 13 13 39 -26 WWLLD