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Eltham Redbacks FC 3-1 North Geelong Warriors: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow
FT
🏆 Victoria NPL 2 🌍 Australia
Sat, Jul 11 2026 · 05:00
FT
Eltham Redbacks FC
3 - 1
North Geelong Warriors
🏆 Victoria NPL 2
🌍 Australia
🏟️ TBA
Pre-Match Predictions
Expected Goals
Home
2.55
League avg: 2.40
Both
4.28
League avg: 4.20
Away
1.73
League avg: 1.80
1X2 Probability
Home
49%
ELO-based: 42%
Draw
24%
ELO-based: 24%
Away
27%
ELO-based: 34%
Goal Probability
2.5+
70%
3.5+
45%
BTTS
64%
Best Score Tips
2 - 18%
2 - 27%
3 - 17%
Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Eltham Redbacks FC vs North Geelong Warriors

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Eltham Redbacks FC vs North Geelong Warriors.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.
FT Score Probability Grid
North Geelong Warriors
01234
Eltham Redbacks FC 0 1.4% 2.4% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5%
1 3.5% 6.1% 5.3% 3.0% 1.3%
2 4.5% 7.8% 6.7% 3.9% 1.7%
3 3.8% 6.6% 5.7% 3.3% 1.4%
4 2.4% 4.2% 3.7% 2.1% 0.9%
ELO Overview
Home
1506+1
League
1471±0
Away
1473+18
ELO Verdict
Home edge, Low confidence, high upset risk
ELOOverallFormH/AAttackDefenseLast 5 +-
Eltham Redbacks FC15061496151816511450+1
North Geelong Warriors14731466148215071425+18
League Snapshot
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAForm
Eltham Redbacks FC519288474534LDLLW
North Geelong Warriors918289183234LWWWD
Recent Team Form
TeamPlayedFormAttackDefenseGF avgGA avg
Eltham Redbacks FC 5 27% 57% 48% 2.6 2.4
North Geelong Warriors 5 67% 43% 74% 2.0 1.2
Goal Trends
TeamGF HGF AGF TotGA HGA AGA Tot
Eltham Redbacks FC 2.9 1.9 2.4 1.7 1.9 1.8
North Geelong Warriors 1.9 1.6 1.8 1.6 2.3 1.9
Goals Trends, home + away avg.
TeamsGFGF H/AGAGA H/A
Eltham Redbacks FC 2.4 2.9 1.8 1.7
North Geelong Warriors 1.8 1.6 1.9 2.3
Goal Minutes
MinHome ForAway ForHome AgainstAway Against
0-15 9.52% 9.09% 16.22% 9.09%
16-30 16.67% 21.21% 18.92% 27.27%
31-45 26.19% 15.15% 2.70% 24.24%
46-60 11.90% 15.15% 24.32% 9.09%
61-75 9.52% 18.18% 16.22% 15.15%
76-90 26.19% 21.21% 18.92% 12.12%
Team Comparison
29%
Form
71%
57%
Attack
43%
33%
Defense
67%
65%
Poisson
35%
%
H2H
1%
4%
Goals
6%
45%
Total
55%
Biggest Results
TeamWin HWin ALoss HLoss AGF H/AGA H/A
Eltham Redbacks FC 8-0 1-6 3-4 4-0 8 / 6 4 / 4
North Geelong Warriors 3-0 0-2 2-4 3-0 3 / 4 4 / 3
Clean sheets & failed to score
TeamCSCS HCS AFTSFTS HFTS A
Eltham Redbacks FC 3 2 1 1 0 1
North Geelong Warriors 4 3 1 2 0 2
Penalties
TeamScoredScored %MissedMissed %WonCommitted
Eltham Redbacks FC 1 100.00% 0 0% — —
North Geelong Warriors 1 100.00% 0 0% — —
Recent H2H
DateHomeScoreAway
2026-03-28 North Geelong Warriors 3 - 2 FT Eltham Redbacks FC
Best Odds Snapshot
MarketBest oddBookmaker
Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.
Match Events
MinTeamPlayerTypeDetail
83' Eltham Redbacks FC J. Dennett Goal Normal Goal
55' North Geelong Warriors G. Nepomuceno Goal Penalty
45+2' Eltham Redbacks FC N. Edwards Goal Normal Goal
12' Eltham Redbacks FC B. Romas Goal Normal Goal
League Standings
Local standings cache · Victoria NPL 2 2026
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAGDForm
Melbourne Knights 1 20 41 13 2 5 35 16 19 WWLLD
Northcote City 2 20 39 12 3 5 34 20 14 LLWLW
Brunswick Juventus FC 3 20 39 13 0 7 40 30 10 WWLWL
Melbourne Victory II 4 20 31 9 4 7 48 35 13 DLWWW
Eltham Redbacks FC 5 20 31 9 4 7 48 35 13 WWLLD
Bulleen Lions 6 20 30 8 6 6 33 27 6 DLWLD
Melbourne Srbija 7 19 29 9 2 8 24 22 2 LWWWD
Manningham United Blues 8 20 29 9 2 9 34 38 -4 WDLLL
North Geelong Warriors 9 19 28 9 1 9 33 37 -4 LDWWW
Western United II 10 20 25 8 1 11 42 50 -8 LWWDW
Brunswick City 11 20 24 7 3 10 36 42 -6 DLLWW
Langwarrin 12 20 23 6 5 9 36 45 -9 DLWWL
North Sunshine Eagles 13 20 18 5 3 12 28 36 -8 WDLLD
Port Melbourne 14 20 10 2 4 14 10 48 -38 LDLDL