Tue, May 12 2026 • 00:00 •
Allianz Parque
Expected Goals
1.80 (league 1.56)
0.66 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 63.7% | 22.2% | 13.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.4%
2 - 0
13.8%
1 - 1
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Atlético Mineiro W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Palmeiras W | 0 | 8.6% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.4% | 10.2% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.8% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.3% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Palmeiras W | Atlético Mineiro W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 53% |
| Attack | 27% | 73% |
| Defense | 55% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Palmeiras W | Atlético Mineiro W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 60% | 50% | 56% | 20% | 25% | 22% |
| Draws | 40% | 25% | 33% | 20% | 50% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 25% | 11% | 60% | 25% | 44% |
Palmeiras WWWWWLDWDD
Atlético Mineiro WLDLLWLDWD
League goals
| Metric | Palmeiras W | Atlético Mineiro W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 4 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| GF avg | 2.8 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Palmeiras W | Atlético Mineiro W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 56% | 67% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 56% | 22% | 22% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 11% | 11% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 22% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Palmeiras W | Atlético Mineiro W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Palmeiras W | Atlético Mineiro W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Palmeiras W | Atlético Mineiro W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Palmeiras W | Atlético Mineiro W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 27% | 73% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 75% | 25% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 82% | 18% |
| Total | 54.2% | 45.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.19 @ Betano
Draw7.50 @ Unibet
Away16.00 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.50 @ Betano
Under 2.52.62 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.30 @ Unibet
No1.65 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…