Mon, May 11 2026 • 22:00 •
Estadio Luso Brasileiro
Expected Goals
2.22 (league 1.56)
1.22 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 57.4% | 19.9% | 20.0% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 1
8.7%
2 - 0
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Ferroviaria W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Flamengo W | 0 | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 7.1% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.9% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Flamengo W | Ferroviaria W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Attack | 64% | 71% |
| Defense | 43% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
85%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Flamengo W | Ferroviaria W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 50% | 40% | 44% | 60% | 25% | 44% |
| Draws | 25% | 40% | 33% | 40% | 25% | 33% |
| Loses | 25% | 20% | 22% | 0% | 50% | 22% |
Flamengo WWWDDWDLWL
Ferroviaria WLWWDDDWLW
League goals
| Metric | Flamengo W | Ferroviaria W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 7 | 16 | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 7 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Flamengo W | Ferroviaria W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 89% | 78% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 33% | 33% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 11% | 22% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Flamengo W | Ferroviaria W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Flamengo W | Ferroviaria W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Flamengo W | Ferroviaria W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 1-3 | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-1 | — | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Flamengo W | Ferroviaria W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 67% | 33% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 58% | 42% |
| Total | 55.5% | 44.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.60 @ Betano
Draw3.22 @ Marathonbet
Away2.93 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.99 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.88 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.10 @ Unibet
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League standings
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