First League — Russia
Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 14:30 • Neftekhimik Stadium
Match Postponed
Expected Goals
0.52 (league 1.21) 1.15 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.7% 31.8% 51.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
21.6%
0 - 0
18.7%
0 - 2
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Fakel
0 1 2 3 4 5
FK Neftekhimik 0 18.7% 21.6% 12.5% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3%
1 9.8% 11.3% 6.5% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 2.5% 2.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFK NeftekhimikFakel
Played55
Form73%100%
Attack62%85%
Defense77%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FK Neftekhimik Fakel
HATHAT
Played121022111122
Wins33%30%32%91%55%73%
Draws42%50%45%9%18%14%
Loses25%20%23%0%27%14%

Form: FK Neftekhimik: DDDWLLDLDWWWDLDLDDWWDW • Fakel: WWWWWWLDWLDDWWWLWWWWWW

League goals

Metric FK Neftekhimik Fakel
HATHAT
GF total111627181230
GF avg0.91.61.21.61.11.4
GA total1311243811
GA avg1.11.11.10.30.70.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFK NeftekhimikFakel
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%59%82%36%
1.527%23%32%14%
2.59%18%14%0%
3.59%5%9%0%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFK NeftekhimikFakel
HATHAT
Clean sheets7299514
Failed to score325134

Penalties

MetricFK NeftekhimikFakel
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricFK NeftekhimikFakel
Wins36
Draws32
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-44-00-4
Biggest losses1-53-2—2-0
Goals For2444
Goals Against5322

Model comparison

MetricFK NeftekhimikFakel
Form42%58%
Att42%58%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h50%50%
Goals57%43%
Total43.8%56.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Fakel

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.85 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.98 @ 1xBet
Away2.24 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.93 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.40 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.35 @ Pinnacle
No1.59 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FK Neftekhimik = 0.52 (league 1.21), Fakel = 1.15 (league 1.05)

Fakel
0 1 2 3 4 5
FK Neftekhimik 0 18.7% 21.6% 12.5% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3%
1 9.8% 11.3% 6.5% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 2.5% 2.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.7% · Draw 31.8% · Away win 51.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1