AFC U17 Asian Cup — World
Tue, May 12 2026 • 16:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started

Japan U17

—

Indonesia U17

Expected Goals
2.61 (league 2.30) 0.27 (league 1.84)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
82.3% 10.4% 2.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
19.1%
3 - 0
16.6%
1 - 0
14.6%
Score & goals probability table
Indonesia U17
0 1 2 3 4 5
Japan U17 0 5.6% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.6% 4.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.1% 5.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.6% 4.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.8% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.6% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home strong edge

Japan U17 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 94 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Japan U17 +23.3, Indonesia U17 +0.2.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Japan U17 Elo 1553.7 · +23.3
vs
Indonesia U17 Elo 1494.4 · +0.2
Elo gapJapan U17 +94
Home / draw / away51% / 19% / 30%
Expected home share63%
Combined Elo3048.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3048.1
Elo home share 63%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric Japan U17 Indonesia U17
Overall Elo1553.71494.4
Form Elo1607.91485.8
Home / Away Elo1521.21500.7
Attack Elo1548.71485.5
Defense Elo1558.41440.2
Last 5 Elo change+23.3+0.2

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Japan U17 last-5 Elo change: +23.3; Indonesia U17 last-5 Elo change: +0.2.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJapan U17Indonesia U17
Played22
Form100%50%
Attack50%10%
Defense80%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 2.51 | 0.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 12 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Japan U17 Indonesia U17
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins100%100%100%100%0%50%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%100%50%
Japan U17WW
Indonesia U17WL

League goals

Metric Japan U17 Indonesia U17
HATHAT
GF total325101
GF avg3.02.02.51.00.00.5
GA total112022
GA avg1.01.01.00.02.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJapan U17Indonesia U17
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%50%50%
1.5100%0%0%50%
2.550%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJapan U17Indonesia U17
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricJapan U17Indonesia U17
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Total01

Streaks

MetricJapan U17Indonesia U17
Wins21
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-21-0—
Biggest losses———2-0
Goals For3210
Goals Against1102

Model comparison

MetricJapan U17Indonesia U17
Form67%33%
Att83%17%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total66.7%33.3%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Japan U17 vs Indonesia U17