Shandong Luneng 4-3 Yunnan Yukun: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Shandong Luneng 4-3 Yunnan Yukun: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Super League 🌍 China

Fri, Jul 10 2026 · 11:35

Shandong Luneng

4 - 3

Yunnan Yukun

🏆 Super League

🌍 China

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

2.04

League avg: 1.80

Both

3.56

League avg: 3.60

Away

1.52

League avg: 1.80

1X2 Probability

Home

44%

ELO-based: 45%

Draw

26%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

30%

ELO-based: 31%

Goal Probability

2.5+

62%

3.5+

38%

BTTS

62%

Best Score Tips

2 - 19%

1 - 19%

2 - 27%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Shandong Luneng vs Yunnan Yukun

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Shandong Luneng vs Yunnan Yukun.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Yunnan Yukun
		0	1	2	3	4
Shandong Luneng	0	2.8%	4.3%	3.3%	1.7%	0.6%
	1	5.8%	8.8%	6.7%	3.4%	1.3%
	2	5.9%	9.0%	6.8%	3.5%	1.3%
	3	4.0%	6.1%	4.6%	2.4%	0.9%
	4	2.1%	3.1%	2.4%	1.2%	0.5%

ELO Overview

Home

1601-25

League

1531±0

Away

1535-17

ELO Verdict

Home edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Shandong Luneng	1601	1594	1562	1771	1493	-25
Yunnan Yukun	1535	1536	1498	1625	1381	-17

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Shandong Luneng	7	17	27	8	3	6	30	28	LDLWL
Yunnan Yukun	4	17	24	7	3	7	31	29	DLDLW

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Shandong Luneng	5	27%	53%	35%	1.8	2.2
Yunnan Yukun	5	33%	41%	47%	1.4	1.8

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Shandong Luneng	2.3	1.3	1.8	1.3	2.0	1.6
Yunnan Yukun	2.0	1.7	1.8	1.6	1.8	1.7

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Shandong Luneng	1.8	2.3	1.6	1.3
Yunnan Yukun	1.8	1.7	1.7	1.8

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	13.33%	21.88%	17.86%	3.57%
16-30	13.33%	18.75%	10.71%	10.71%
31-45	16.67%	18.75%	14.29%	28.57%
46-60	16.67%	3.13%	7.14%	25.00%
61-75	20.00%	21.88%	21.43%	7.14%
76-90	20.00%	15.63%	28.57%	25.00%

Team Comparison

44%

Form

56%

Attack

44%

45%

Defense

55%

59%

Poisson

41%

13%

H2H

88%

27%

Goals

73%

41%

Total

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Shandong Luneng	4-1	1-5	1-2	4-0	4 / 5	3 / 4
Yunnan Yukun	4-0	1-3	0-3	4-2	4 / 4	3 / 4

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Shandong Luneng	2	1	1	3	0	3
Yunnan Yukun	3	2	1	2	1	1

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Shandong Luneng	4	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Yunnan Yukun	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-03-21	Yunnan Yukun	4 - 0 FT	Shandong Luneng
2025-10-04	Shandong Luneng	1 - 1 FT	Yunnan Yukun
2025-05-05	Yunnan Yukun	3 - 2 FT	Shandong Luneng

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	1.80	Dafabet
Draw	4.40	Unibet
Away win	4.00	Unibet
Over 2.5	1.38	Pinnacle
Under 2.5	3.33	1xBet
BTTS Yes	1.40	William Hill
BTTS No	3.10	Betfair

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90+1'	Yunnan Yukun	Cleber	Goal	Assist: O. Taty Maritu
90'	Yunnan Yukun	Zhang Chenliang	subst	Out: Yi Teng
90'	Yunnan Yukun	A. Ionita II	subst	Out: Fei Ernanduo
86'	Shandong Luneng	Chen Pu	subst	Out: J. Lu
86'	Shandong Luneng	V. Qazaishvili	subst	Out: Yin Jiaxi
79'	Yunnan Yukun	Abdusalam Bunyamin	subst	Out: Tang Miao
76'	Yunnan Yukun	Cleber	Goal	Penalty
68'	Shandong Luneng	Wang Tong	subst	Out: R. Merkies
67'	Yunnan Yukun	J. Saeter	subst	Out: Cleber
67'	Yunnan Yukun	Tsui Wang-Kit	subst	Out: Huang Zichang
54'	Shandong Luneng	Chen Pu	Goal	Assist: Zeca
46'	Shandong Luneng	Huang Zhengyu	subst	Out: Memet Imran
42'	Yunnan Yukun	A. Ionita II	Goal	Assist: O. Taty Maritu
30'	Shandong Luneng	Chen Pu	Card	Yellow Card
26'	Shandong Luneng	Zeca	Goal	Assist: Mijit Mewlan
16'	Shandong Luneng	Zeca	Goal	Assist: Liu Yang
10'	Shandong Luneng	Mijit Mewlan	Goal	Assist: Zeca

League Standings

Local standings cache · Super League 2026

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Chengdu Better City Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)	1	17	41	13	2	2	37	16	21	DWWLL
Chongqing Tongliang Long Promotion - AFC Champions League 2	2	17	27	7	6	4	21	19	2	LWLWD
Dalian Zhixing	3	17	25	8	1	8	25	31	-6	WLLWD
Yunnan Yukun	4	17	24	7	3	7	31	29	2	WLDLD
Qingdao Youth Island	5	17	24	5	9	3	22	25	-3	WWDWD
Beijing Guoan	6	17	21	7	5	5	29	23	6	WWWLD
Shandong Luneng	7	17	21	8	3	6	30	28	2	LWLDL
Shenyang Urban	8	17	20	6	2	9	24	29	-5	WLWWW
Shanghai Shenhua	9	17	19	8	5	4	36	27	9	WWDLD
Hangzhou Greentown	10	17	17	6	4	7	23	29	-6	LLWLW
Sichuan Jiuniu	11	17	17	5	2	10	22	31	-9	LLWWD
SHANGHAI SIPG	12	17	15	5	5	7	26	24	2	LWLDW
Henan Jianye	13	17	15	6	3	8	18	22	-4	LLLWW
Qingdao Jonoon	14	17	14	6	3	8	27	28	-1	DWLLL
Tianjin Teda Relegation - League One	15	17	8	4	6	7	22	22	0	WLWDL
Wuhan Three Towns Relegation - League One	16	17	8	2	7	8	24	34	-10	LLDDD