Maitland 3-1 Adamstown Rosebuds: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Maitland 3-1 Adamstown Rosebuds: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Northern NSW NPL 🌍 Australia

Sat, Jul 11 2026 · 06:30

Maitland

3 - 1

Adamstown Rosebuds

🏆 Northern NSW NPL

🌍 Australia

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.65

League avg: 1.90

Both

3.16

League avg: 3.30

Away

1.51

League avg: 1.40

1X2 Probability

Home

37%

ELO-based: 47%

Draw

27%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

36%

ELO-based: 29%

Goal Probability

2.5+

58%

3.5+

35%

BTTS

59%

Best Score Tips

1 - 111%

2 - 19%

1 - 28%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Maitland vs Adamstown Rosebuds

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Maitland vs Adamstown Rosebuds.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Adamstown Rosebuds
		0	1	2	3	4
Maitland	0	4.3%	6.4%	4.8%	2.4%	0.9%
	1	7.0%	10.6%	8.0%	4.0%	1.5%
	2	5.8%	8.7%	6.6%	3.3%	1.2%
	3	3.2%	4.8%	3.6%	1.8%	0.7%
	4	1.3%	2.0%	1.5%	0.7%	0.3%

ELO Overview

Home

1539+23

League

1520±0

Away

1451+19

ELO Verdict

Home edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Maitland	1539	1552	1499	1605	1435	+23
Adamstown Rosebuds	1451	1457	1495	1506	1378	+19

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Maitland	4	16	27	8	3	5	30	27	LWWWW
Adamstown Rosebuds	10	17	17	4	5	8	24	33	WLDWL

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Maitland	5	80%	26%	83%	1.2	0.8
Adamstown Rosebuds	5	47%	35%	57%	1.6	2.0

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Maitland	1.4	2.4	1.9	1.5	1.9	1.7
Adamstown Rosebuds	1.2	1.6	1.4	2.1	1.8	1.9

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Maitland	1.9	1.4	1.7	1.5
Adamstown Rosebuds	1.4	1.6	1.9	1.8

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	13.33%	20.83%	14.81%	3.03%
16-30	6.67%	4.17%	14.81%	18.18%
31-45	40.00%	16.67%	25.93%	30.30%
46-60	6.67%	12.50%	7.41%	6.06%
61-75	13.33%	12.50%	14.81%	6.06%
76-90	20.00%	33.33%	22.22%	30.30%

Team Comparison

63%

Form

37%

43%

Attack

57%

71%

Defense

29%

Poisson

85%

H2H

15%

71%

Goals

29%

64%

Total

36%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Maitland	2-1	2-5	1-3	3-1	2 / 5	3 / 3
Adamstown Rosebuds	2-0	0-3	1-5	3-1	2 / 3	5 / 3

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Maitland	3	2	1	0	0	0
Adamstown Rosebuds	4	3	1	3	2	1

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Maitland	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Adamstown Rosebuds	0	0%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-04-11	Adamstown Rosebuds	2 - 5 FT	Maitland
2025-05-31	Maitland	3 - 1 FT	Adamstown Rosebuds
2025-02-28	Adamstown Rosebuds	1 - 1 FT	Maitland
2024-06-22	Adamstown Rosebuds	2 - 7 FT	Maitland
2024-03-23	Maitland	1 - 1 FT	Adamstown Rosebuds
2023-08-13	Adamstown Rosebuds	1 - 0 FT	Maitland

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	1.75	William Hill
Draw	4.20	Betfair
Away win	3.75	Betano
Over 2.5	1.40	Bet365
Under 2.5	3.25	Unibet
BTTS Yes	1.37	Superbet
BTTS No	3.00	BetVictor

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

League Standings

Local standings cache · Northern NSW NPL 2026

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Broadmeadow Magic Playoffs	1	14	31	9	4	1	37	18	19	DWWWW
Weston Bears Qualification Playoffs	2	13	25	8	1	4	25	17	8	LWLDW
Belmont Swansea Qualification Playoffs	3	14	25	7	4	3	34	27	7	WLDDW
Maitland Qualification Playoffs	4	14	21	6	3	5	28	27	1	WWLLL
Edgeworth Eagles Qualification Playoffs	5	12	20	5	5	2	25	21	4	LWDDW
Lambton Jaffas	6	13	17	5	2	6	26	20	6	LWWLW
Cooks Hill United	7	12	14	4	2	6	23	25	-2	LWWWL
Hamilton Olympic	8	13	13	3	4	6	22	25	-3	LLLWD
Charlestown City Blues	9	11	13	4	1	6	18	21	-3	LLWLL
Adamstown Rosebuds	10	13	13	3	4	6	18	23	-5	WWDLL
Valentine Relegation Playoffs	11	13	12	3	3	7	11	28	-17	DDWLW
Kahibah Relegation	12	12	10	3	1	8	15	30	-15	LLLLL